The Minnesota Timberwolves (21-13) visit the Miami Heat (19-15) Saturday evening for a 5 p.m. ET (NBA TV) tip from Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting of season; Tied 1-1 last season
Minnesota has dropped 3 of its last 4 games after falling 126-102 Wednesday against the Atlanta Hawks, failing to cover as a 6-point road favorite, with the Under (240) hitting. G Anthony Edwards scored a team-high 30 points, while only 3 Timberwolves players scored in double figures in the loss.
Miami enters on a 4-game winning streak after handling the Detroit Pistons 118-112 Thursday and covering as a 4.5-point road underdog with the Under (235.5) hitting. G Norman Powell scored a game-high 36 points on 7 of 14 shooting from beyond the arc, while C Bam Adebayo added 15 points and 14 rebounds for a double-double. The Heat led by as many as 22 in the victory.
Timberwolves at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Heat +125 (bet $100 to win $125)Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -2.5 (-115) | Heat +2.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Timberwolves at Heat key injuries
Timberwolves
G Terrence Shannon Jr. (foot) out
Heat
C Bam Adebayo (back) probableG Tyler Herro (toe) outF Jaime Jaquez Jr. (thigh) probableF Nikola Jovic (elbow) probableG Pelle Larsson (ankle) questionableG Terry Rozier (out) not with team
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Timberwolves at Heat picks and predictionsPrediction
Heat 116, Timberwolves 112
BET HEAT (+125).
The Heat have won each of their last 4 games, including 3 of which they entered as underdogs. They have played much better at home, going 12-5, as opposed to their 7-10 road record. Despite filling the injury report, the Heat have seen players, such as Powell, step up and play major roles, which will be crucial again to grab another win Saturday.
The Timberwolves have dropped 3 of their last 4, including 2 of their last 3 when they entered as favorites and 2 of their last 3 on the road.
PASS.
There is better value on the Heat moneyline.
BET UNDER 239.5 (-115).
The Wolves have hit the Under in 7 of their last 9 games, including back-to-back road games. They have scored 115 or fewer points in 6 of their last 8, while allowing 107 or fewer in 5 of their last 9.
The Heat have hit the Under in 6 of their last 10. They have scored 118 or fewer points in 6 of their last 10, while allowing 112 or fewer in 3 of their last 5.
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