The New Orleans Pelicans (8-28) will try to snap a six-game losing skid when visiting the Miami Heat (19-16) on Sunday, January 4, 2026 at Kaseya Center. This matchup is at 6 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+, and WPLG.
The Heat head into their game against the Pelicans as a 7.5-point favorite. The over/under for the game is set at 242.5.
Heat vs. Pelicans betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 3:29 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Miami -7.5Total: 242.5Moneyline: Miami -305, New Orleans +245
Pelicans at Heat odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (- 7.5)Pick OU:
Under (242.5)Prediction:
Heat 126 – Pelicans 113MoneylineThe Heat have been the moneyline favorite 15 total times this season. They’ve gone 9-6 in those games.In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -305 or shorter, Miami has gone 2-1 (66.7% win percentage).Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Heat’s implied win probability is 75.3%.This season, the Pelicans have been the underdog 34 times and won six, or 17.6%, of those games.New Orleans has a record of 2-18, a 10% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +245 or more by bookmakers this season.Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pelicans have a 29.0% chance to win.Against the spreadThe 120.7 points per game the Heat average are only 2.4 fewer points than the Pelicans allow (123.1).Miami has a 12-2 record against the spread and an 11-3 record overall when scoring more than 123.1 points.New Orleans is 12-4 against the spread and 5-11 overall when it scores more than 117.6 points.Miami’s record is 10-4-1 against the spread and 11-4 overall when it gives up fewer than 115.4 points.The Heat are the league’s third-ranked scoring team (120.7 PPG), while the Pelicans allow the rank 28th in points per game (123.1) in NBA play.New Orleans’ squad is currently the 21st-ranked scoring team in the NBA (115.4 PPG), while Miami’s team is 20th in points allowed per game (117.6).The Heat have totaled 109 more points than their opponents this season (3.1 per game on average), while the Pelicans have been out-scored by 276 total points (7.7 per game average differential).Over/UnderMiami has an average implied point total of 121.4 this year, which is 3.6 points lower than its implied total in Sunday’s game (125).So far this season, Miami has put up more than 125 points in 14 games.New Orleans’ average implied point total on the year (121.3 points) is 3.3 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (118 points).How to watch Heat vs. PelicansGame day: Sunday, January 4, 2026Game time: 6 p.m. ETLocation: Miami, FloridaArena: Kaseya CenterTV channel: FanDuel Sports Network SunLive stream: Watch this game on Fubo