The Miami Heat (20-16) take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (23-13) on Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at Target Center. It starts at 8 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock and FDSN.
The Timberwolves are a 5.5-point favorite against the Heat when the Timberwolves and the Heat meet. The game’s over/under is set at 237.5.
Timberwolves vs. Heat betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 3:29 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Minnesota -5.5Total: 237.5Moneyline: Minnesota -222, Miami +183
Heat at Timberwolves odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 5.5)Pick OU:
Under (237.5)Prediction:
Timberwolves 120 – Heat 116MoneylineThe Timberwolves have won 72.4% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (21-8).In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -222 or shorter, Minnesota has a record of 15-5 (75% win percentage).The Timberwolves have an implied moneyline win probability of 68.9% in this game.This season, the Heat have been the underdog 20 times and won 10, or 50%, of those games.This season, Miami has won two of its nine games, or 22.2%, when it is the underdog by at least +183 on the moneyline.The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.3% chance of a victory for the Heat.Against the spreadThe Timberwolves average just 2.3 more points per game (119.6) than the Heat give up (117.3).Minnesota is 11-7 against the spread and 17-1 overall when scoring more than 117.3 points.When it scores more than 114.6 points, Miami is 18-6 against the spread and 16-8 overall.Minnesota has an ATS record of 15-13 and a 22-6 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 120.8 points.The Timberwolves are the league’s fifth-ranked scoring team (119.6 PPG), while the Heat allow the rank 18th in points per game (117.3) in NBA play.Miami is the NBA’s third-ranked offense (120.8 PPG), while Minnesota is the 11th-ranked defense (114.6).The Timberwolves have out-scored their opponents by a total of 178 points this season (five points per game on average), and the Heat have put up 128 more points than their opponents on the year (3.5 per game).Over/UnderMinnesota has an average implied point total of 120.1 this year, which is 1.9 points lower than its implied total in Tuesday’s game (122).This season, Minnesota has put up more than 122 points 13 times.Miami’s average implied point total on the year (121.6 points) is 5.6 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (116 points).How to watch Timberwolves vs. Heat