Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers odds, tips and betting trends

Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers odds, tips and betting trends | 1/10/2026

The Indiana Pacers (7-31) will look to stop a seven-game home losing skid when taking on the Miami Heat (20-17) on Saturday, January 10, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, airing at 7 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSIN.

The Heat are a 7.5-point favorite against the Pacers when the Heat and the Pacers meet. The point total for the game is set at 236.5.

Heat vs. Pacers betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 3:30 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Miami -7.5Total: 236.5Moneyline: Miami -305, Indiana +244Watch this game on Fubo!Heat at Pacers odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (- 7.5)Pick OU: Under (236.5)Prediction: Heat 121 – Pacers 113MoneylineThe Heat have put together a 10-6 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 62.5% of those games).Miami has gone 2-1 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -305 or shorter (winning 66.7%).Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Heat’s implied win probability is 75.3%.This season, the Pacers have won five out of the 33 games, or 15.2%, in which they’ve been the underdog.Indiana has a record of 1-12, a 7.7% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +244 or more by bookmakers this season.The Pacers have a 29.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.Against the spreadThe Heat score just 0.6 more points per game (120.1) than the Pacers allow (119.5).Miami has a 15-3 record against the spread and a 13-5 record overall when putting up more than 119.5 points.When it scores more than 117.4 points, Indiana is 5-5 against the spread and 3-7 overall.Miami’s record is 7-3-1 against the spread and 8-3 overall when it gives up fewer than 110.8 points.The Heat are the NBA’s third-ranked scoring team (120.1 PPG), while the Pacers rank 25th in points per game allowed (119.5) in the league.Indiana is the NBA’s 28th-ranked offense (110.8 PPG), while Miami is the 21st-ranked defense (117.4).The Heat have out-scored their opponents by a total of 100 points this season (2.7 points per game on average), and opponents of the Pacers have out-scored them by 329 more points on the year (8.7 per game).Over/UnderMiami’s average implied point total this year is 0.4 fewer points than its implied total in Saturday’s game (121.6 implied points on average compared to 122 implied points in this game).This season, Miami has scored more than 122 points in a game 15 times.Indiana’s average implied point total on the season (119.6 points) is 4.6 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (115 points).How to watch Heat vs. PacersGame day: Saturday, January 10, 2026Game time: 7 p.m. ETLocation: Indianapolis, IndianaArena: Gainbridge FieldhouseTV channel: FanDuel Sports Network IndianaLive stream: Watch this game on FuboWatch this game on Fubo!

Our team of savvy editors independently handpicks all recommendations. If you purchase through our links, the USA Today Network may earn a commission. Prices were accurate at the time of publication but may change.

Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose.  While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling.  We do our best to make sure all the information that we provide on this site is correct. However, from time to time mistakes will be made and we will not be held liable. Please check any stats or information if you are unsure how accurate they are. No guarantees are made with regards to results or financial gain. All forms of betting carry financial risk and it is up to the individual to make bets with or without the assistance of information provided on this site and we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of following the betting tips provided on this site.  Past performances do not guarantee success in the future and betting odds fluctuate from one minute to the next. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice.

Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws.

© 2026 sportsbookwire.usatoday.com. All rights reserved.