Jan. 11, 2026, 12:16 p.m. ET
The Atlanta Hawks (19-21) visit the Golden State Warriors (21-18) on Sunday. Tip-off from Chase Center in San Francisco, California, is at 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Hawks vs Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Tied 1-1
The Hawks are 4-2 in their last 6 games and have won their last 2. They opened their 4-game road trip with 110-87 win over the Denver Nuggets Friday as 3-point favorites with the Under (229.5) cashing. F Jalen Johnson led the Hawks with 29 points, and G Dyson Daniels had a triple-double with 17 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists.
The Warriors have won 2 straight games and are 7-3 in their last 10. They blew out the Sacramento Kings 137-103 at home Friday, covering the 14.5-point spread as favorites with the Over (230.5) cashing.
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Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Hawks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Warriors -220 (bet $220 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +5.5 (-105) | Warriors -5.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Hawks at Warriors key injuries
Hawks
C Kristaps Porzingas (Achilles) questionableF Zaccharie Risacher (knee) out
Warriors
G Seth Curry (sciatica) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Hawks at Warriors picks and predictionsPrediction
Warriors 124, Hawks 112
The home team has won the last 9 meetings between the 2 teams. The Warriors are 13-5 at home this season and 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
The Hawks are 12-10 in away games, but have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
Let the trend of the home team winning continue, but betting the spread for either team is a better value than the Warriors ML.
PASS.
The Hawks are 7-5 ATS as road underdogs, per Teamrankings.com, and Golden State is 9-6 ATS when favored at home.
The Warriors’ last 7 wins have been by no fewer than 7 points while 4 of the Hawks’ last 5 losses, including their last 3, have been by double digits.
BET WARRIORS -5.5 (-115).
Six of the Hawks’ last 7 losses have surpassed 235 total points while 4 of the Warriors’ last 6 wins have surpassed 235.
Six of their last 8 meetings have had totals higher than 235.
BET OVER 235.5 (-110).
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