Jan. 14, 2026, 9:24 a.m. ET
The Toronto Raptors (24-17) face the Indiana Pacers (9-31) Wednesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Raptors vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Toronto leads 2-0
Toronto lost 115-102 to the Philadelphia 76ers Monday while failing to cover as a 3.5-point home underdog as the Under (221.5) cashed. The duo of G Tyrese Maxey and C Joel Embiid cooked the Raptors for 60 points while no Raptors player even hit the 20-point mark. The Raptors forced 16 turnovers that led to 19 easy points, but that advantage was nullified by Toronto’s abysmal 6-of-37 (16%) shooting from deep.
Indiana escaped with a 98-96 win over the Boston Celtics Monday to cover as a 5-point home underdog while the Under (227.5) hit. The Pacers hit 16 3-pointers to Boston’s 9 to make up for Boston’s 54-38 domination in the paint. The Pacers have won 3 straight and have held opponents to under 100 points in back-to-back games.
The Raptors beat the Pacers 97-95 Nov. 26, failing to cover as 10.5-point home favorites as the Under (233.5) hit. F Brandon Ingram scored 26 points and G Scottie Barnes put up 24. Toronto won the first meeting 129-111 in Indiana Nov. 15.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Raptors at Pacers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Raptors -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Pacers +118 (bet $100 to win $118)Against the spread (ATS): Raptors -2.5 (-110) | Pacers +2.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Raptors at Pacers key injuries
Raptors
G RJ Barrett (ankle) outC Sandro Mamukelashvili (illness) questionableC Jakob Poeltl (back) outF/G Ja’Kobe Walter (hip) out
Pacers
G Tyrese Haliburton (achilles) outC Isaiah Jackson (concussion) outF/G Bennedict Mathurin (thumb) outF Obi Toppin (foot) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Raptors at Pacers picks and predictionsPrediction
Raptors 109, Pacers 107
BET RAPTORS (-145).
The Pacers are extremely undermanned, while the Raptors walk into this matchup with their 2 best players healthy. On top of that, the Raptors boast a top-10 defense while the Pacers rank near the bottom statistically on both sides of the ball.
Look for Toronto to do what it always does to win this game: Play great defense, get out on the break, and grab some timely offensive boards to give the offense extra possession.
LEAN PACERS +2.5 (-110).
Indiana has covered the spread in each of its last 4 games, winning 3 of them and losing by only 4 points to the Cleveland Cavaliers in the other. In spite of Indiana’s abysmal overall record, the Pacers are actually better ATS (21-19) this season than the Raptors (21-20). Finally, the Pacers have covered ATS in 2 of their last 3 matchups against Toronto.
This is your riskiest play for this game, as the Raptors have the more talented team and will have big wings to throw at guys like F Pascal Siakam defensively to slow him down.
BET UNDER 223.5 (-110).
The Under has hit in Indiana’s last 4 games and is 3-2 in Toronto’s last 5. The Under has also been much safer for both teams this season, sitting at 25-16 for the Raptors and 26-14 for the Pacers. Finally, the Under has hit in 3 of the last 4 matchups between these squads.
With Toronto being top-7 in defensive rating and scoring defense, while the Pacers sit at 28th in points per game and 29th in offensive rating, the Under is nearly a lock here.
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