The Pistons are -12.5 favorites vs. the Pacers

Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points

Watch the game on FDIN | FDDT

The Indiana Pacers visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Pistons Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 22-20 against the spread, while the Pistons are 21-18 against the spread.

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Pacers vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

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Pistons vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Saturday‘s game with 78.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Pistons.

Pistons vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 64.1% confidence.

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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+14.06 Units / 29% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in their last 9 games (+10.55 Units / 111% ROI)

Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 87% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.65 Units / 63% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 22-20 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

10-32 against the Moneyline (-21.25 Units / -42.29% ROI)

16-26 against the Over for game total points (-12.6 Units / -27.27% ROI)

26-16 against the Under for game total points (+8.4 Units / 18.18% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 21-18 (+1.2 Units / 2.79% ROI).

29-10 against the Moneyline (+13.2 Units / 13.87% ROI)

17-22 against the Over for game total points (-7.2 Units / -16.78% ROI)

22-17 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 7.69% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have not hit the 4Q Game Total Over in any of their last 14 games (-16.10 Units / -100% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (-15.38 Units / -30% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.70 Units / -26% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-11.65 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 45 away games (-23.45 Units / -44% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-21.45 Units / -40% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.55 Units / -38% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.55 Units / -32% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pistons have averaged 6.7 blocks per game (260 blocks/39 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (404 steals/39 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,472/3,328) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons are shooting 75% from the free throw line (798/1,069) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

The Pistons have averaged 29.8 points in the paint per game (1,164 points/39 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Pistons have a 31% free throw rate (1,069 free throw attempts/3,498 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.7 blocks per game (260 blocks/39 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (404 steals/39 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,472/3,328) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons are shooting 75% from the free throw line (798/1,069) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

The Pistons have averaged 29.8 points in the paint per game (1,164 points/39 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Pistons have a 31% free throw rate (1,069 free throw attempts/3,498 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.7 blocks per game (260 blocks/39 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 10.4 steals per game (404 steals/39 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,472/3,328) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons are shooting 75% from the free throw line (798/1,069) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

The Pistons have averaged 29.8 points in the paint per game (1,164 points/39 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Pistons have a 31% free throw rate (1,069 free throw attempts/3,498 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

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