The Rockets are -13.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
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The New Orleans Pelicans visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Houston, TX.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Pelicans vs Rockets Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 23-21 against the spread, while the Rockets are 19-20 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
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Rockets vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Rockets.
Rockets vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.95 Units / 17% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.35 Units / 19% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+17.35 Units / 28% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+14.80 Units / 10% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.52 Units / 29% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 51% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 23-21 (-0.1 Units / -0.21% ROI).
10-34 against the Moneyline (-18.55 Units / -40.77% ROI)
24-20 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 4.13% ROI)
20-24 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -13.22% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 19-20 (-2.95 Units / -6.88% ROI).
24-15 against the Moneyline (-20.7 Units / -14.04% ROI)
19-20 against the Over for game total points (-2.97 Units / -6.93% ROI)
20-19 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.1% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games at home (-30.55 Units / -28% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games (-20.95 Units / -28% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.25 Units / -33% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.25 Units / -31% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-11.80 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 50 games (-24.55 Units / -48% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 13 of their last 40 away games (-16.65 Units / -38% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 away games (-14.80 Units / -35% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-13.71 Units / -27% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.50 Units / -29% ROI)
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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Pelicans have averaged 58.1 points in the paint per game (2,556 points/44 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pelicans have an eFG% of 52% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Pelicans have averaged 15.9 fast break points per game (698 points/44 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1
The Pelicans are shooting 34% from three (477/1,392) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Rockets are 2-4 (.333) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369
The Rockets are 15-3 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
The Rockets are 12-1 (.923) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Rockets are 9-6 (.600) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .525
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 58.1 points in the paint per game (2,556 points/44 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pelicans have an eFG% of 52% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Pelicans have averaged 15.9 fast break points per game (698 points/44 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1
The Pelicans are shooting 34% from three (477/1,392) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets are 2-4 (.333) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369
The Rockets are 15-3 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
The Rockets are 12-1 (.923) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Rockets are 9-6 (.600) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .525
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 58.1 points in the paint per game (2,556 points/44 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pelicans have an eFG% of 52% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Pelicans have averaged 15.9 fast break points per game (698 points/44 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1
The Pelicans are shooting 34% from three (477/1,392) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets are 2-4 (.333) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369
The Rockets are 15-3 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
The Rockets are 12-1 (.923) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Rockets are 9-6 (.600) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .525
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