The Golden State Warriors (24-19) are 6.5-point favorites as they try to extend a three-game home winning streak when they host the Miami Heat (22-20) on Monday, January 19, 2026 at Chase Center. The contest airs at 10 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and NBCS-BA.

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Warriors vs. Heat Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final tally of Warriors 119, Heat 115.

Moneyline Pick: Warriors (-252)
Total Pick: Under 237.5 (computer predicts 233.4 points)
Pick ATS: Heat (+6.5)
Recent Warriors vs. Heat Matchups

Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends

Golden State has a 21-22-0 record against the spread this season.
The Warriors have a 12-6 record against the spread in games they were favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
The teams have hit the over in 24 of Golden State’s 42 games with a set total.
The Warriors have won 20, or 62.5%, of the 32 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
Golden State has a record of 14-3, a 82.4% win rate, when it’s favored by -252 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

Miami has gone 24-17-1 ATS this season.
In games they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season, the Heat are 6-3 against the spread.
Miami’s games have gone over the point total 20 out of 42 times (47.6%).
The Heat have been the moneyline underdog 24 total times this season. They’ve gone 11-13 in those games.
Miami has gone 3-5 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +205 or longer (37.5%).

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Warriors vs. Heat Injury Report

Warriors

Warriors:

Seth Curry: Out (Back),

Gui Santos: Day-To-Day (Ankle),

Jimmy Butler: Day-To-Day (Personal)

Heat

Heat:

Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Day-To-Day (Knee),

Tyler Herro: Day-To-Day (Toe),

Davion Mitchell: Day-To-Day (Shoulder)

Warriors vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Monday, January 19, 2026
Game time: 10 p.m. ET
TV channel: FDSSUN and NBCS-BA
Location: San Francisco, California
Arena: Chase Center
Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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