The Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) are favored by 9.5 points against the Milwaukee Bucks (18-24) on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK.
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Thunder vs. Bucks Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final tally of Thunder 120, Bucks 108.
Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-403)
Total Pick: Over 226 (computer predicts 228.7 points)
Pick ATS: Thunder (-9.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Bucks Matchups
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
Oklahoma City’s ATS record is 22-22-0 this season.
The Thunder are 15-15 against the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
Oklahoma City’s games have hit the over in 23 out of 42 opportunities (54.8%).
The Thunder have entered the game as favorites 44 times this season and won 36, or 81.8%, of those games.
This season, Oklahoma City has won 24 of its 27 games, or 88.9%, when favored by at least -403 on the moneyline.
Bucks 2025-26 Betting Trends
Milwaukee’s ATS record is 19-23-0 this season.
In games they have played as at least 9.5-point underdogs this season, the Bucks are 4-0 against the spread.
Of Milwaukee’s 42 games with a set total, 16 have hit the over (38.1%).
The Bucks have won eight of the 23 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (34.8%).
Milwaukee has gone 1-3 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +316 or longer (25%).
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Thunder vs. Bucks Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Jalen Williams: Out (Thigh),
Alex Caruso: Out (Groin),
Jaylin Williams: Out (Back),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Out (Calf)
Bucks
Bucks:
Taurean Prince: Out (Neck)
Thunder vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel
Game day: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
TV channel: ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK
Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Arena: Fiserv Forum
Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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