Updated Jan. 21, 2026, 11:31 a.m. ET

The Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) visit the Milwaukee Bucks (18-24) Wednesday. Tip-off from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Bucks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

2024-25 season series: Thunder swept 2-0

Oklahoma City dominated the Cleveland Cavaliers to the tune of a 136-104 win Monday, covering as a 6-point road favorite with the Over (229.5) hitting. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished with 30 points, and C Chet Holmgren added 28 of his own, while no Cav scored more than 19 points. The Thunder forced 21 turnovers and scored 23 points off those turnovers.

Milwaukee escaped with a 112-110 win over the Atlanta Hawks Monday, covering as a 1.5-point road underdog with the Under (231.5) cashing. F Giannis Antetokounmpo put up 21 points and 17 rebounds to lead the Bucks, but 5 other Bucks also finished in double figures in the win. Milwaukee dominated 52-38 in paint points and scored 16 points off turnovers to Atlanta’s 9.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Thunder at Bucks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -425 (bet $425 to win $100) | Bucks +320 (bet $100 to win $320)Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -9.5 (-110) | Bucks +9.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Thunder at Bucks key injuries

Thunder

G Alex Caruso (hip) outC Isaiah Hartenstein (calf) outF Jalen Williams (hamstring) outF Jaylin Williams (glute) out

Bucks

G Kevin Porter Jr. (oblique) questionableF Taurean Prince (neck) outC Myles Turner (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Thunder at Bucks picks and predictionsPrediction

Thunder 108, Bucks 100

PASS.

The Thunder are the much better team and should easily win as -425 favorites here, but they are not worth the risk of betting at such a heavy price. Pass and bet the spread and/or total instead for this matchup.

LEAN BUCKS +9.5 (-110).

Milwaukee has covered the spread in 2 of its last 3 matchups against Oklahoma City in Milwaukee.

With Hartenstein and Jalen Williams out, look for Antetokounmpo to wreak havoc and make Holmgren look completely outmatched. That performance, combined with the injuries for OKC, could leave Gilgeous-Alexander with limited help offensively, allowing Antetokounmpo’s dominance to be enough for the Bucks to keep this one close.

This is a very slight lean because the Thunder are the better team and because both teams are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 matchups against one another.

BET UNDER 226.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games and is 26-16 for the Bucks this season. The Under has also hit in 7 of the last 10 matchups between these squads, including all of the 3 most recent meetings.

With OKC boasting a dominant defense, the Under is always safer. Given that the Bucks could also have some defensive success with OKC dealing with injuries, look for the Under to be a strong play in this matchup.

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