The Grizzlies are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
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The New Orleans Pelicans visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Memphis, TN.
The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The Pelicans vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 24-22 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 18-24 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans+5.5 -105O 239.5 -110+180Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 -115U 239.5 -110-220
Grizzlies vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Grizzlies.
Grizzlies vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 49% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+12.05 Units / 28% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+6.65 Units / 28% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.40 Units / 15% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 24-22 (-0.2 Units / -0.4% ROI).
10-36 against the Moneyline (-20.55 Units / -43.26% ROI)
24-22 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.4% ROI)
22-24 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.7% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 18-24 (-8.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
18-24 against the Moneyline (-10.8 Units / -18.4% ROI)
18-24 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
24-18 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 9.09% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-17.85 Units / -28% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.00 Units / -27% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-12.50 Units / -28% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-11.65 Units / -20% ROI)
The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-11.58 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 50 games (-24.55 Units / -48% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (-15.55 Units / -37% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.55 Units / -33% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-13.95 Units / -35% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-12.91 Units / -25% ROI)
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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Pelicans are 6-23 (.207) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Pelicans are 4-20 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469
The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Pelicans are 3-23 (.115) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .370
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Grizzlies were undefeated (10-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627
The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Grizzlies are 4-1 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have an eFG% of 52% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Pelicans have made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,136 assists/ 676 TOs) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Grizzlies averaged 1.18 points per shot (4,262 points/3,600 shots) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 8.9 steals per game (410 steals/46 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Pelicans have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,210 rebounds/210 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pelicans stole the ball 701 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Grizzlies allowed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (825 rebounds/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.6
The Grizzlies have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,530 rebounds/42 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Grizzlies have averaged 7.8 steals per game (327 steals/42 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
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