The New Orleans Pelicans are rebuffing most trade conversations despite being in the Western Conference cellar. That is a choice.

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies are atop most trade conversations in the NBA, though the traction in those conversations is quite debatable.

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My Pelicans vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks assume these rosters may not remain as they are, but one New Orleans shooter should be trusted on Friday, January 23.

Pelicans vs Grizzlies prediction

Pelicans vs Grizzlies best bet: Trey Murphy III Over 21.5 points (-105)

Only two teams have given up more 3-point attempts in the last 10 games than the Memphis Grizzlies have, opponents pulling up from deep 42.0 times per game.

That has been survivable because opponents are hitting only 34.5% of those looks, but here comes Trey Murphy III.

No one on the New Orleans Pelicans roster is more equipped to take advantage of that defensive choice than Murphy, taking 11.9 shots from long range per game in his last nine games, helping him average 27.8 points since New Year’s.

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He has made 39.3% of those 3-point attempts. No wonder the Pelicans refuse to entertain trade overtures for Murphy.

Pelicans vs Grizzlies same-game parlay

Murphy has scored at least 22 points and hit at least four 3-pointers in six of his nine games since New Year’s, a data set chosen only to align with Memphis’s defensive trend in the last 10 games.

And yet New Orleans is just 3-6 against the spread in those nine games.

Pelicans vs Grizzlies SGP

Trey Murphy III Over 21.5 points

Trey Murphy III Over 3.5 threes

Our “from downtown” SGP: Treys!

Adding Herbert Jones’s made threes prop is entirely a reflection of Memphis’s defense and very little a reflection of Jones’s shooting.

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He has taken 4.2 threes per game this season and hit just 33.3% of them, but against the Grizzlies, Jones could easily take six, at which point there is a reasonable chance he hits multiple shots from deep.

Pelicans vs Grizzlies SGP

Trey Murphy III Over 21.5 points

Herbert Jones Over 1.5 threes

Trey Murphy III Over 3.5 threes

Pelicans vs Grizzlies odds

Spread: Pelicans +6 | Grizzlies -6

Moneyline: Pelicans +185 | Grizzlies -225

Over/Under: Over 239.5 | Under 239.5

Pelicans vs Grizzlies betting trend to know

Despite Murphy’s hot shooting, New Orleans has gone 3-6 ATS in his last nine games. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Grizzlies.

How to watch Pelicans vs Grizzlies

Location

FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Date

Friday, January 23, 2026

Tip-off

8:00 p.m. ET

TV

GCSEN, FDSN SE-MEM

Pelicans vs Grizzlies latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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