The Celtics are -11.5 favorites vs. the Kings
Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
Watch the game on NBSB | NSCA
The Sacramento Kings visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Boston, MA.
The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Kings vs Celtics Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 19-30 against the spread, while the Celtics are 25-22 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineSacramento Kings+11.5 -110O 220.5 -110+400Boston Celtics -11.5 -110U 220.5 -110-550
Celtics vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Celtics.
Celtics vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 43% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.95 Units / 19% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 57% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:
The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.45 Units / 29% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.95 Units / 17% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 19-30 (-14 Units / -25.97% ROI).
12-37 against the Moneyline (-3.85 Units / -7.29% ROI)
23-26 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -10.39% ROI)
26-23 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 25-22 (+0.8 Units / 1.55% ROI).
29-18 against the Moneyline (-9.2 Units / -7.66% ROI)
19-28 against the Over for game total points (-11.8 Units / -22.82% ROI)
28-19 against the Under for game total points (+7.1 Units / 13.73% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-18.40 Units / -39% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (-17.30 Units / -22% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-17.00 Units / -42% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (-15.09 Units / -18% ROI)
The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-14.00 Units / -30% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.80 Units / -40% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 50 games (-22.10 Units / -43% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 35 away games (-19.30 Units / -41% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -30% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 25 games (-16.20 Units / -56% ROI)
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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Kings are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .575
The Kings are 3-19 (.136) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .397
The Kings are 4-20 (.167) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449
The Kings are 4-17 (.190) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .518
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Celtics are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .685
The Celtics are 73-6 (.924) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692
The Celtics are 40-13 (.755) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .438
The Celtics were 17-3 (.850) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 110.5 points per game (5,414 points/49 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6
The Kings have an eFG% of 50% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Kings have made 10.5 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Kings have averaged 52.9 points per game (2,594 points/49 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
The Celtics have made 16.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Celtics made 17.8 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
The Celtics have 18.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2
The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have allowed 41.3 points in the paint per game (1,942 points/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.6
The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (1,239 blocks/211 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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