Jan. 30, 2026, 2:12 p.m. ET

The Detroit Pistons (34-12) visit the Golden State Warriors (27-22) at Chase Center on Friday. Tip-off from San Francisco, California, is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pistons vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

2024-25 season series: Golden State won 2-0

Detroit was routed 114-96 by the Phoenix Suns on Thursday, failing to cover as a 3.5-point road favorite as the Under (214.5) hit. Cade Cunningham scored 26 and Jalen Duren finished with 23 points and 13 boards, but the Pistons shot just 6-of-29 (21%) from 3-point range in the loss. The Pistons led 54-36 in points in the paint and 17-9 in the turnover battle, but the Suns hit 16 3-pointers to secure the win.

Golden State handed the Utah Jazz a 140-124 loss Wednesday, covering as an 8.5-point road favorite while the Over (241.5) cashed. Stephen Curry put up 27 points and Moses Moody finished with 26, finishing as 2 of 8 Warriors to score in double figures in the win. The Warriors shot an insane 23-of-54 (43%) from deep against Utah.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Pistons at Warriors odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pistons +118 (bet $100 to win $118) | Warriors -145 (bet $145 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Pistons +2.5 (-110) | Warriors -2.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Pistons at Warriors key injuries

Pistons

(Not yet submitted — below was for Thursday’s game)

G Caris LeVert (illness) questionable

Warriors

F Jimmy Butler III (knee) outG Seth Curry (back) outF Jonathan Kuminga (knee) outF/C Gui Santos (calf) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pistons at Warriors picks and predictionsPrediction

Warriors 108, Pistons 106

LEAN WARRIORS (-145).

The Warriors are 6-3 in their last 9 games and are a dominant 8-2 in their last 10 matchups against Detroit, including winning 4 of the last 5 meetings in Golden State.

Look for Golden State’s 3-point shooting to be the key for the Warriors to overcome this elite defense to pick up the win.

This is a very slight lean as the Pistons are the more talented and complete team.

PASS.

I lean toward the Pistons to cover here as +2.5 (-110) underdogs, but with them sitting at just 3-5-2 ATS in their last 10 against Golden State and just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 overall, they are not worth the risk of betting on with the spread set this tightly. Pass and bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

BET UNDER 224.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 8 of Detroit’s last 10 games and is 27-19 for the Pistons this season. For Golden State, the Under is 2-1 in its last 3 games. The Under has also hit in 6 of the last 10 matchups between these squads, including cashing in each of the last 3 meetings.

Detroit has the bodies to ensure that there is always a great defender on Curry, and with Detroit’s offense being mediocre, the Under is the safer bet here.

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