Hawks vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Pacers vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Pacers.

Pacers vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.

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Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.20 Units / 27% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+8.60 Units / 77% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.73 Units / 24% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)

Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 25-25 (-2.45 Units / -4.46% ROI).

24-26 against the Moneyline (-4.35 Units / -5.6% ROI)

25-25 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)

25-25 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 24-24 (-2.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

12-36 against the Moneyline (-18.05 Units / -32.09% ROI)

18-30 against the Over for game total points (-15 Units / -28.41% ROI)

30-18 against the Under for game total points (+10.2 Units / 19.32% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.10 Units / -36% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.00 Units / -31% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games at home (-15.05 Units / -16% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.45 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.00 Units / -41% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.70 Units / -30% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-13.65 Units / -25% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.95 Units / -22% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 20 away games (-11.35 Units / -45% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Hawks are winless (0-8) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

The Hawks were 5-2 (.714) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Hawks were 5-7 (.417) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Hawks are 10-22 (.312) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Pacers are 3-20 (.130) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pacers are 2-13 (.133) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .516

The Pacers are winless (0-19) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

The Pacers are 3-17 (.150) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 47% from three (104/221) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hawks have a TS% of 54% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,539 assists/ 732 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hawks averaged 5.3 assists per game (336 assists/63 games) in close and late situations last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 30.8 assists per game (2,522 assists/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 123.3 points per game (10,110 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have 470 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 7.4 steals per game (354 steals/48 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pacers have allowed 11.5 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3