Feb. 1, 2026, 11:01 a.m. ET
The Oklahoma City Thunder (38-11) and Denver Nuggets (33-16) meet Sunday. Tip-off from Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Split 2-2
The Thunder lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves 123-111 Thursday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point road favorite with the Over (227.5) cashing. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tallied 30 points, 6 rebounds, and 8 assists. Oklahoma City is 3-4 over its last 7 games and is 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in that span. It is 23-26 ATS on the season.
The Nuggets beat the LA Clippers 122-109 Friday, covering as a 2.5-point home underdog. The Over (219.5) hit. C Nikola Jokic made his return to action and tallied 31 points on 8-for-11 shooting. Denver has won 4 of its last 5 games and has covered in 4 of those as well. It is 29-20 ATS on the season.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Thunder at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:01 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Thunder -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Nuggets +240 (bet $100 to win $240)Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -8.5 (-102) | Nuggets +8.5 (-118)Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Thunder at Nuggets key injuries
Thunder
G Alex Caruso (adductor) outG Ajay Mitchell (abdominal) outF Jalen Williams (hamstring) out
Nuggets
G Christian Braun (ankle) doubtfulF Aaron Gordon (hamstring) outF Cam Johnson (knee) outC Nikola Jokic (knee) probableG Jamal Murray (hamstring) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Thunder at Nuggets picks and predictionsPrediction
Thunder 117, Nuggets 114
PASS.
Avoid this play. The Nuggets (+240) should be able to keep this close, but they’re still short several pivotal starters and may struggle to win outright.
BET NUGGETS +8.5 (-118).
The Thunder have not rewarded bettors often as of late. They’ve failed to cover in 4 straight games and are just 5-10 ATS since the first of the year. Until they re-find their identity, they aren’t worth considering.
The Nuggets have been on a roll, and with Jokic back, they should compete at a high level, especially at home. Denver has gone 9-5 ATS in its last 14 contests.
Take NUGGETS +8.5 (-118).
BET OVER 222.5 (-110).
The Nuggets have gone Over in 3 straight games and have their star playmaker back on the court. Denver is 6-4 O/U in its last 10 contests as well.
The Thunder are 5-2 O/U in their previous 7 games and have scored at least 111 points in 10 of their last 12. Bet OVER 222.5 (-110).
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