The fourth-seeded Denver Nuggets and the fifth-seeded LA Clippers play Game 6 of a Western Conference best-of-7, first-round series in the NBA Playoffs Thursday at Intuit Dome in Inglewood. The Nuggets lead the series 3-2. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Clippers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Split 2-2

After going down in the series 2-1, Denver has won back-to-back games to take a 3-2 series lead. The Nuggets took down LA 131-115 Tuesday, covering as 2-point home underdogs. G Jamal Murray scored a game-high 43 points, shooting 8 of 14 from deep, while C Nikola Jokic added 13 points, 12 assists, and 10 rebounds for his 21st career playoff triple-double.

LA has dropped back-to-back games for the first time since early-March. C Ivica Zubac scored a team-high 27 points in Game 5, while F Kawhi Leonard added 20 points, 11 rebounds and 9 assists. The Clippers never led in the loss.

Nuggets at Clippers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Clippers -275 (bet $275 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +6.5 (-110) | Clippers -6.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Nuggets at Clippers key injuries

Nuggets

Clippers

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Nuggets at Clippers picks and predictionsPrediction

Clippers 111, Nuggets 107

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Clippers (-275) to win in front of their home crowd Thursday to extend this series. Despite falling victim to an incredible outing from Murray Tuesday, the Clippers have won 10 of their last 13 overall.

BET NUGGETS +6.5 (-110).

Three of the 5 games in this series have been decided by 3 points or fewer, while the Nuggets have won the last 2 games, both as underdogs. With a larger spread than expected for what has been a relatively tight series, backing the Nuggets is the best play.

The Clippers are just 4-5 ATS over their last 9 games, including 2-4 ATS as favorites.

BET OVER 212.5 (-105).

The Over has hit just once in this series, but this total is the third-lowest. The Clippers have scored 110 or more points in 3 games this series and in 7 of their last 10 overall and have surrendered 112 or more in 5 of their last 9.

The Nuggets have scored 112 or more points twice in this series and at least 112 in 7 of their last 10. They have allowed 109 or more points in 8 of their last 10 games.

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