Our Hawks vs. Heat predictions think Nickeil Alexander-Walker will be on his A-game tonight.
Feb 3, 2026 • 09:48 ET
• 4 min read
EXPERT PICK – PROP
Nickeil Alexander-Walker o20.5 Points Scored (-110)
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Nickeil Alexander-Walker passes the ball against the Celtics during the first half at TD Garden.
The Atlanta Hawks take a trip down to South Beach tonight for a matchup with the Miami Heat at Kaseya Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker continues to thrive, and my Hawks vs. Heat predictions and NBA picks will focus on his ability to score the rock.
Hawks vs Heat prediction
Hawks vs Heat best bet: Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 20.5 points (-110)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker is having a career year for the Atlanta Hawks. The guard is averaging 20.3 points per game while shooting 38% from downtown. To put his numbers into perspective, the Canadian averaged just 9.4 ppg for the Timberwolves last season.
A bigger role as a starter has allowed NAW to flourish. He’s cashed the Over in points in three of his last four games, scoring 21 points in each. Two of those contests were on the road, and as previously mentioned, the Hawks visit Miami this evening.
In fact, Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.9 ppg on the road compared to 19.6 at home. The Virginia Tech product is playing with boatloads of confidence, and he’ll make his presence felt once again tonight.
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Hawks vs Heat same-game parlay
Andrew Wiggins is averaging 15.6 ppg this season. He’s cashed the Over in two of his last three home games. He scored 18 against the Hawks earlier this season, and he’s averaging 16.1 ppg at home compared to 15.1 on the road.
Jalen Johnson is having a monster year for Atlanta, and he’s doing it all. While he’s not a high-volume shooter, Johnson is averaging 1.7 makes on 4.7 attempts for a 36% clip. Very respectable.
He’s cashed the Over in five of his last seven appearances, and he’s drained three triples in back-to-back contests. Johnson is also shooting it even better on the road, averaging 1.8 makes for a 39.2% clip from deep.
Hawks vs Heat SGP
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 20.5 points
Andrew Wiggins Over 15.5 points
Jalen Johnson Over 1.5 threes
Our “from downtown” SGP: Dimes for Dyson!
Dyson Daniels is on fire as a facilitator, cashing his assist Over in four straight games.
Hawks vs Heat SGP
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 20.5 points
Andrew Wiggins Over 15.5 points
Jalen Johnson Over 1.5 threes
Dyson Daniels Over 6.5 assists
Hawks vs Heat odds
Spread: Hawks +3 | Heat -3
Moneyline: Hawks +135 | Heat -155
Over/Under: Over 240.5 | Under 240.5
Hawks vs Heat betting trend to know
The Hawks have covered the spread in 28 of their last 45 road games for +9.3 units and a 19% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Hawks vs. Heat.
How to watch Hawks vs Heat
Location
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Date
Tuesday, February 3, 2026
Tip-off
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN Southeast-Atlanta, FDSN Sun
Hawks vs Heat latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.
After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.
Quinn’s favorite team is Chelsea FC and he’d like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.
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