Jazz vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Hawks vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Thursday‘s game with 66.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Hawks.

Hawks vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 62.2% confidence.

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Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:

The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+14.05 Units / 54% ROI)

The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)

The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)

The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)

The Utah Jazz have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 away games (+7.97 Units / 22% ROI)

Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.05 Units / 30% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.81 Units / 67% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.15 Units / 9% ROI)

Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 27-24 (+0.6 Units / 1.07% ROI).

16-35 against the Moneyline (+4.95 Units / 9.2% ROI)

31-20 against the Over for game total points (+9 Units / 16.04% ROI)

20-31 against the Under for game total points (-14.1 Units / -25.13% ROI)

Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 26-26 (-2.55 Units / -4.46% ROI).

25-27 against the Moneyline (-4.55 Units / -5.69% ROI)

27-25 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.87% ROI)

25-27 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -8.22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-15.30 Units / -26% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.95 Units / -22% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-12.80 Units / -37% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 50 games (-10.80 Units / -18% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 5 of their last 18 games at home (-9.60 Units / -47% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:

The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 30 away games (-14.95 Units / -43% ROI)

The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.90 Units / -26% ROI)

The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-14.60 Units / -33% ROI)

The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-13.65 Units / -27% ROI)

The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 24 games (-12.65 Units / -46% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Jazz are winless (0-7) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are 4-15 (.211) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Jazz were 3-35 (.079) when losing the rebounding margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Hawks are 4-12 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Hawks were 10-17 (.370) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Hawks are 10-23 (.303) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .383

The Hawks are winless (0-20) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .098

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 17.2 turnovers per game (1,412 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Jazz averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (703 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (3,501 turnovers/215 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 47% from three (106/228) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hawks have averaged 30.7 assists per game (1,598 assists/52 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

The Hawks have an eFG% of 59% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (827 assists/ 364 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (3,182 points/2,218 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Jazz have allowed 19.9 fast break points per game (2,112 points/106 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.3

The Jazz allowed 18.4 fast break points per game (1,510 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (180 blocks/51 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hawks have averaged 9.4 steals per game (488 steals/52 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Hawks have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,496 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2