The Lakers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
Watch the game on ABC
The Golden State Warriors visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Los Angeles, CA.
The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Warriors vs Lakers Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 25-27 against the spread, while the Lakers are 28-22 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineGolden State Warriors+2.5 -105O 220.5 -110+125Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 -115U 220.5 -110-150
Lakers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Saturday‘s game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Lakers.
Lakers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 58.3% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.55 Units / 19% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 25-27 (-4.7 Units / -8.22% ROI).
28-24 against the Moneyline (-10.55 Units / -8.38% ROI)
30-22 against the Over for game total points (+5.8 Units / 10.14% ROI)
22-30 against the Under for game total points (-11 Units / -19.23% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 28-22 (+3.8 Units / 6.91% ROI).
31-19 against the Moneyline (+8.15 Units / 7.53% ROI)
28-22 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 6.91% ROI)
22-28 against the Under for game total points (-8.8 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-23.20 Units / -28% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 30 games at home (-18.40 Units / -35% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 30 games at home (-17.40 Units / -50% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-17.35 Units / -27% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-15.40 Units / -44% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-21.70 Units / -27% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.05 Units / -35% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.50 Units / -25% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.35 Units / -25% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.00 Units / -25% ROI)
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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Warriors are 13-3 (.812) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690
The Warriors are 8-9 (.471) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Warriors were 17-10 (.630) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443
The Warriors are 28-10 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .617
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Lakers are winless (0-5) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247
The Lakers are 7-2 (.778) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .626
The Lakers are 28-15 (.651) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .493
The Lakers are 21-1 (.955) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .912
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 21.0 points in the paint per game (1,094 points/52 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2
The Warriors have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Warriors shot 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Warriors have made 856 three-pointers this season — most among NBA teams
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 1.44 points per shot (2,520 points/1,754 shots) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Lakers are shooting 52% (904/1,754) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (1,181 points/104 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,777 rebounds/52 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 10.2 steals per game (684 steals/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Warriors have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,857 steals/216 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,684 rebounds/50 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (199 blocks/50 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Lakers have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (498 blocks/104 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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