The Magic are -7.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
Watch the game on FDFL | KJZZ
The Utah Jazz visit Kia Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Orlando, FL.
The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Jazz vs Magic Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 28-24 against the spread, while the Magic are 20-30 against the spread.
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Jazz vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
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Magic vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Saturday‘s game with 73.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Magic.
Magic vs Jazz Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 66.3% confidence.
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Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:
The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+12.85 Units / 79% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 away games (+9.77 Units / 23% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Magic Best Bets for Tonight:
The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 28-24 (+1.6 Units / 2.8% ROI).
16-36 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 7.21% ROI)
31-21 against the Over for game total points (+7.9 Units / 13.81% ROI)
21-31 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -22.9% ROI)
Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 20-30 (-13 Units / -23.64% ROI).
26-24 against the Moneyline (-9.2 Units / -9.71% ROI)
25-25 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
25-25 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games at home (-22.05 Units / -27% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-19.65 Units / -38% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 30 games (-14.80 Units / -37% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only covered the Spread in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.10 Units / -43% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-13.60 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.05 Units / -30% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 40 away games (-16.40 Units / -39% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 40 away games (-14.50 Units / -35% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 35 away games (-14.25 Units / -36% ROI)
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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic
The Jazz are winless (0-7) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .573
The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Jazz were 6-22 (.214) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Jazz are winless (0-6) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .228
Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz
The Magic are 14-2 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .781
The Magic are 9-12 (.429) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Magic are 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573
The Magic were 14-20 (.412) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449
Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz averaged 17.2 turnovers per game (1,412 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Jazz have averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (3,512 turnovers/216 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Jazz averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (703 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends
The Magic shot 32% from three (921/2,892) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic are shooting 28% from three (60/216) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Magic shot 31% from three (456/1,458) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic are shooting 34% from three (2,389/7,119) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Jazz averaged 6.8 steals per game (555 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (3,242 points/2,268 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
The Jazz have allowed 126.8 points per game (6,593 points/52 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.6
Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends
The Magic averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Magic have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (257 blocks/50 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Magic averaged 6.0 blocks per game (488 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Magic stole the ball 669 times in the 2023-24 season — 5th most among NBA teams
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