Nuggets vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Bulls vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Bulls.

Bulls vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+23.85 Units / 32% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.73 Units / 29% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+12.60 Units / 21% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Bulls Best Bets for Tonight:

The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+17.05 Units / 49% ROI)

The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.26 Units / 18% ROI)

The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)

The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.45 Units / 12% ROI)

The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 30-22 (+5.8 Units / 10.13% ROI).

33-19 against the Moneyline (+4.65 Units / 3.48% ROI)

33-19 against the Over for game total points (+12.13 Units / 21.22% ROI)

19-33 against the Under for game total points (-17.3 Units / -30.21% ROI)

Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 23-27 (-6.7 Units / -11.72% ROI).

24-28 against the Moneyline (-0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI)

24-27 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -9.97% ROI)

27-24 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.05% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bulls:

The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.25 Units / -34% ROI)

The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 30 games at home (-21.70 Units / -63% ROI)

The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 games (-17.35 Units / -28% ROI)

The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-15.00 Units / -26% ROI)

The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.80 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.10 Units / -33% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-16.70 Units / -38% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.45 Units / -25% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.20 Units / -25% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.56 Units / -30% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Nuggets are 28-12 (.700) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Nuggets are 17-5 (.773) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .603

The Nuggets are 20-5 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Bulls are 8-9 (.471) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .518

The Bulls are winless (0-21) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .088

The Bulls are 1-10 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

The Bulls are 39-22 (.639) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,396 points/2,400 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Nuggets averaged 10.7 points in the paint per game (586 points/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,448 assists/ 659 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 3.4 fast break points per game (200 points/59 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3

The Bulls have averaged 9.4 fast break points per game (1,253 points/134 games) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bulls averaged 9.8 fast break points per game (802 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bulls have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (765 assists/ 358 TOs) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have forced 11.9 turnovers per game (620 turnovers/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (220 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,868 rebounds/52 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,131 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bulls have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,933 rebounds/52 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Bulls have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,064 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have blocked 261 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams