Feb. 8, 2026, 12:51 a.m. ET

The Miami Heat (27-26) and Washington Wizards (14-37) meet Sunday at 2 p.m. ET at Capital One Arena in Washington D.C. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Wizards odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

2024-25 season series: Heat won 3-1

The Heat lost to the Boston Celtics 98-96 Friday, covering as a 6-point road underdog with the Under (227.5) cashing. Miami has been consistently inconsistent over its last 9 games, going 4-4 straight up and 5-3 against the spread (ATS). It is 30-22-1 ATS on the season.

The Wizards lost to the Brooklyn Nets 127-113, failing to cover as a 7.5-point road underdog as the Over (217.5) hit with ease. Washington has traded off winning and losing over its last 6 games, going 3-3 ATS in that span. It is 22-29 ATS this season.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Heat at Wizards odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:38 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Wizards +375 (bet $100 to win $375)Against the spread (ATS): Heat -10.5 (-118) | Wizards +10.5 (-102)Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Heat at Wizards key injuries

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (hip) probableG Tyler Herro (costochondral) outF Pelle Larsson (elbow) doubtfulG Norman Powell (hand) questionableG Terry Rozier (not with team) out

Wizards

(Not yet submitted — below was for Saturday’s game)

F Bilal Coulibaly (back) outF Anthony Davis (trade pending) outG Tre Johnson (ankle) outG D’Angelo Russell (trade pending) outC Alex Sarr (ankle) outG Trae Young (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Wizards picks and predictionsPrediction

Heat 128, Wizards 114

PASS.

The Wizards (+375) have far too many players missing this one to assume they can pull off the upset. Similarly, the Heat (-500) are too expensive to consider.

BET HEAT -10.5 (-118).

The Heat have covered well on the road over the last few weeks, having rewarded bettors in 4 straight away games. They are 5-3 ATS in their previous 8 games as a favorite.

The Wizards have gone just 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games as a double-digit underdog. Washington has allowed at least 127 points in 3 of its last 5 games, so it has had immense issues on that side of the court.

Back HEAT -10.5 (-118).

BET OVER 235.5 (-110).

The Wizards rank 29th in defensive rating and sixth in pace. That combination suggests the Over is the better route. Washington has gone Over in 5 straight games.

Miami has gone Over in 8 of its last 12 games and has scored at least 122 points in 5 of those contests. Take OVER 235.5 (-110).

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