Kings vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Pelicans vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Monday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 64.7% confidence.

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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 away games (+7.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+11.45 Units / 71% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.25 Units / 46% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 21-33 (-15.3 Units / -25.76% ROI).

12-42 against the Moneyline (-9.5 Units / -16.25% ROI)

27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)

27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI).

14-40 against the Moneyline (-15.9 Units / -27.99% ROI)

27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)

27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 22 games (-15.35 Units / -59% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.75 Units / -36% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.85 Units / -30% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 45 games (-12.45 Units / -26% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 4 of their last 18 games at home (-12.25 Units / -59% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (-22.45 Units / -39% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.65 Units / -36% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-19.40 Units / -38% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.55 Units / -30% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 24 away games (-14.35 Units / -59% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Kings are winless (0-5) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Kings are 4-21 (.160) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Kings are 8-24 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Kings are 4-19 (.174) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .518

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Pelicans are 5-22 (.185) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pelicans are 3-26 (.103) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .371

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have made 10.4 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 53.3 points per game (2,773 points/52 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8

The Kings have averaged 110.5 points per game (5,744 points/52 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Kings have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (277/854) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans shot 38% from three (138/361) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3

The Pelicans have averaged 57.2 points in the paint per game (3,030 points/53 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,704 rebounds/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings averaged 4.2 blocks per game (342 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,784 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Pelicans averaged 8.5 steals per game (701 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (972 steals/108 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (476 steals/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4