Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 73.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Warriors.

Warriors vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 66.5% confidence.

Bet now on Warriors vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM

Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.25 Units / 42% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 50% ROI)

Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.65 Units / 59% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.60 Units / 56% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.35 Units / 42% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+7.40 Units / 10% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 22-29 (-9.9 Units / -17.65% ROI).

20-31 against the Moneyline (-15 Units / -21.87% ROI)

24-27 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -10.16% ROI)

27-24 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.07% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 25-28 (-5.8 Units / -9.95% ROI).

28-25 against the Moneyline (-11.55 Units / -9.11% ROI)

30-23 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 8.06% ROI)

23-30 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -17.15% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (-22.10 Units / -17% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-20.70 Units / -26% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.65 Units / -36% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.30 Units / -36% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.30 Units / -29% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.00 Units / -24% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-16.00 Units / -35% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 24 games (-15.05 Units / -50% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-12.50 Units / -28% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 40 games (-11.45 Units / -25% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies are winless (0-9) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .219

The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Grizzlies are 3-13 (.188) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

The Grizzlies are winless (0-5) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 13-3 (.812) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

The Warriors are 8-9 (.471) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Warriors were 17-10 (.630) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Warriors are 28-10 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .617

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 21.0 points in the paint per game (1,094 points/52 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Warriors have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Warriors shot 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors have made 856 three-pointers this season — most among NBA teams

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,017 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Grizzlies blocked 462 shots last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,755 rebounds/49 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,777 rebounds/52 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 10.2 steals per game (684 steals/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Warriors have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,857 steals/216 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0