The Suns are -8.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
Watch the game on KFAA | KTVK | AZFS
The Dallas Mavericks visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-102).
The Mavericks vs Suns Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-29 against the spread, while the Suns are 34-19 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineDallas Mavericks+8.5 -118O 228.5 -110+240Phoenix Suns -8.5 -102U 228.5 -110-300
Suns vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Suns.
Suns vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 56.7% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.63 Units / 27% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+9.54 Units / 19% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+14.30 Units / 18% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 24% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-29 (-8.95 Units / -15.63% ROI).
19-33 against the Moneyline (-6.95 Units / -10.43% ROI)
23-29 against the Over for game total points (-8.9 Units / -15.56% ROI)
29-23 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 6.47% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 34-19 (+13.1 Units / 22.47% ROI).
31-22 against the Moneyline (+13.1 Units / 14.77% ROI)
22-31 against the Over for game total points (-12.1 Units / -20.75% ROI)
31-22 against the Under for game total points (+6.8 Units / 11.66% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.85 Units / -37% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 18 games (-17.25 Units / -72% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 3 of their last 18 games (-14.80 Units / -70% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.60 Units / -36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 45 games (-19.95 Units / -39% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.10 Units / -29% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.40 Units / -36% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.40 Units / -43% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.25 Units / -27% ROI)
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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Mavericks are 4-19 (.174) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449
The Mavericks are 11-28 (.282) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358
The Mavericks were 20-10 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Mavericks were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .611
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Suns are 10-5 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Suns are undefeated (10-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .781
The Suns were 21-14 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Suns are 52-29 (.642) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have made 11.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (559/1,629) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks have averaged 18.6 fast break points per game (947 points/51 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 20.6 points in the paint per game (1,070 points/52 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1
The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Suns have a 21% free throw rate (521 free throw attempts/2,500 field goal attempts) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
The Suns averaged 20.9 points in the paint per game (1,710 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,916 rebounds/51 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Mavericks averaged 5.4 blocks per game (445 blocks/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (287 blocks/51 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (7,762 rebounds/215 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,706 rebounds/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Suns have averaged 10.3 steals per game (535 steals/52 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Suns have 535 steals this season — most among NBA teams
The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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