New Orleans Pelicans vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends | 2/11/2026

The Miami Heat (28-27) take on the New Orleans Pelicans (15-40) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at Smoothie King Center. It tips at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, and Pelicans+.

The Pelicans are a slight 1.5-point favorite against the Heat. The game’s over/under is set at 232.5.

Pelicans vs. Heat betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: New Orleans -1.5Total: 232.5Moneyline: New Orleans -120, Miami +100Watch the NBA on Fubo!Heat at Pelicans odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 1.5)Pick OU: Over (232.5)Prediction: Heat 120 – Pelicans 116MoneylineThe Pelicans have a 6-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 85.7% of those games).When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -120 or shorter, New Orleans has gone 5-1 (83.3% win percentage).Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Pelicans’ implied win probability is 54.5%.This season, the Heat have won 12 out of the 28 games, or 42.9%, in which they’ve been the underdog.This season, Miami has won 11 of its 26 games, or 42.3%, when it is the underdog by at least +100 on the moneyline.The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of a victory for the Heat.Against the spreadThe 114.7 points per game the Pelicans score are only 2.6 fewer points than the Heat give up (117.3).New Orleans has a 16-7 record against the spread and a 9-14 record overall when putting up more than 117.3 points.When it scores more than 120.4 points, Miami is 21-3 against the spread and 18-5 overall.New Orleans has an ATS record of 15-7-1 and an 11-12 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 119.5 points.The Pelicans are at the 21st spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (114.7 PPG), while the Heat allow the 21st-fewest points per game (117.3) in the league.The fourth-ranked scoring NBA team (119.5 PPG) is Miami, while the New Orleans squad ranks 26th in the league defensively (120.4 PPG).The Pelicans have been out-scored by 314 points this season (5.7 points per game on average), while the Heat have put up 123 more points than their opponents on the year (2.2 per game).Over/UnderThe average implied total for New Orleans this season is 121.5 points, 4.5 more points than its implied total of 117 points in Wednesday’s game.This season, New Orleans has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (117) 24 times.The average implied point total on the year for Miami (121.2) is 5.2 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (116).How to watch Pelicans vs. HeatGame day: Wednesday, February 11, 2026Game time: 8 p.m. ETLocation: New Orleans, LouisianaArena: Smoothie King CenterTV channel: FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, Pelicans+Watch the NBA on Fubo!

Our team of savvy editors independently handpicks all recommendations. If you purchase through our links, the USA TODAY Network may earn a commission. Prices were accurate at the time of publication but may change.

Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose.  While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling.  We do our best to make sure all the information that we provide on this site is correct. However, from time to time mistakes will be made and we will not be held liable. Please check any stats or information if you are unsure how accurate they are. No guarantees are made with regards to results or financial gain. All forms of betting carry financial risk and it is up to the individual to make bets with or without the assistance of information provided on this site and we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of following the betting tips provided on this site.  Past performances do not guarantee success in the future and betting odds fluctuate from one minute to the next. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice.

Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws.

© 2026 sportsbookwire.usatoday.com. All rights reserved.