Our Grizzlies vs. Nuggets predictions expect a relatively close game thanks in part to the play of Ty Jerome.
Feb 11, 2026 • 08:44 ET
• 4 min read
EXPERT PICK – PROP
Ty Jerome o16.5 Points Scored (-112)
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Ty Jerome drives to the hoop.
The Memphis Grizzlies travel to the Mile High City for a Western Conference matchup with the Denver Nuggets.
Ty Jerome has been the scoring spark for Memphis, and my Grizzlies vs. Nuggets predictions and NBA picks expect his hot hand to continue tonight.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets prediction
Grizzlies vs Nuggets best bet: Ty Jerome Over 16.5 points (-112)
Ty Jerome has a massive role in the Memphis Grizzlies depleted rotation, and I expect him to show out tonight.
Since returning from injury, he’s averaged nearly 20 ppg in just 20 minutes of action. With Ja Morant and other starters sidelined, Jerome’s usage rate has surged to 32.4%, allowing him to clear 17 points in four of his last five games.
The Denver Nuggets perimeter defense is shaky in Peyton Watson and Aaron Gordon’s absence, giving the sharpshooting Jerome more space to exploit, and a strong chance to clear his scoring prop.
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Grizzlies vs Nuggets same-game parlay
Watson’s absence should allow Kentavious Caldwell-Pope to score at least 10 points, as he’s cleared this number in five of his previous six games.
Memphis has covered the spread in four of its last five games and meets a Denver group that’s 2-3 ATS in its previous five contests at Ball Arena.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets SGP
Ty Jerome Over 16.5 points
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 9.5 points
Grizzlies +13.5
Our “from downtown” SGP: Points all Over
Nikola Jokic scores in the post, in the short roll, and on second chances. The Grizzlies cannot protect the paint, which sets up as a strong scoring matchup for him.
Kyle Anderson should see around 25 minutes. He scored eight points in his Grizzlies debut and should get clean looks with Watson sidelined.
Grizzlies vs Nuggets SGP
Ty Jerome Over 16.5 points
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 9.5 points
Nikola Jokic Over 24.5 points
Kyle Anderson Over 6.5 points
Grizzlies vs Nuggets odds
Spread: Grizzlies +13.5 | Nuggets -13.5
Moneyline: Grizzlies +475 | Nuggets -650
Over/Under: Over 236 | Under 236
Grizzlies vs Nuggets betting trend to know
The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Nuggets.
How to watch Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Location
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date
Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Tip-off
9:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN Southeast-Memphis, ALT
Grizzlies vs Nuggets latest injuries
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Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.
Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports.
His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.
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