The Jazz are -6.5 favorites vs. the Kings
Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
Watch the game on NSCA | KJZZ
The Sacramento Kings visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Salt Lake City, UT.
The Jazz are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Kings vs Jazz Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 21-34 against the spread, while the Jazz are 30-24 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
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Jazz vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Jazz will win Wednesday‘s game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Jazz.
Jazz vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 56.6% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:
The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.95 Units / 24% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 games at home (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 21-34 (-16.4 Units / -27.11% ROI).
12-43 against the Moneyline (-10.5 Units / -17.66% ROI)
27-28 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI)
28-27 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI)
Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 30-24 (+3.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
17-37 against the Moneyline (+5 Units / 8.8% ROI)
32-22 against the Over for game total points (+7.8 Units / 13.13% ROI)
22-32 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -22.22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:
The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games at home (-22.20 Units / -45% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-15.75 Units / -31% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.00 Units / -29% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.00 Units / -27% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-13.43 Units / -32% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 35 away games (-21.50 Units / -45% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-19.40 Units / -38% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.50 Units / -32% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.70 Units / -34% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.50 Units / -30% ROI)
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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz
The Kings are winless (0-5) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
The Kings are 4-21 (.160) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .519
The Kings are 4-23 (.148) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Kings are 8-25 (.242) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .463
Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Jazz are winless (0-8) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .574
The Jazz were 3-35 (.079) when losing the rebounding margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358
The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Jazz are 7-24 (.226) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have made 10.4 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Kings have a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Kings have an eFG% of 52% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Kings have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz averaged 17.2 turnovers per game (1,412 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Jazz have averaged 16.6 turnovers per game (1,804 turnovers/109 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Jazz have averaged 16.6 turnovers per game (2,263 turnovers/136 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,796 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Kings averaged 4.4 blocks per game (357 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.44 points per shot (3,367 points/2,345 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32
The Jazz have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (190 blocks/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Jazz averaged 6.8 steals per game (555 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Jazz have allowed 126.4 points per game (6,824 points/54 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.6
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