The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
Watch the game on KUNP | FDSN
The Portland Trail Blazers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Minneapolis, MN.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 29-25 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 24-31 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
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Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 57.7% confidence.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+13.30 Units / 32% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+12.31 Units / 25% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.35 Units / 41% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.22 Units / 16% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.08 Units / 29% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 29-25 (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI).
26-28 against the Moneyline (+4.65 Units / 6.23% ROI)
28-26 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.01% ROI)
26-28 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -8.08% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 24-31 (-10.15 Units / -16.76% ROI).
33-22 against the Moneyline (-19.05 Units / -11.25% ROI)
27-28 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.28% ROI)
28-27 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (-25.20 Units / -29% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (-21.90 Units / -20% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 20 games at home (-20.15 Units / -55% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 24 games at home (-14.65 Units / -53% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 21 games at home (-13.85 Units / -56% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.50 Units / -34% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 games (-13.05 Units / -22% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-12.50 Units / -37% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.35 Units / -24% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 19 away games (-12.15 Units / -55% ROI)
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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416
The Trail Blazers are 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647
The Trail Blazers were 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Timberwolves are 21-8 (.724) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565
The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Timberwolves are 68-11 (.861) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .775
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 9.4 second chance points per game (510 points/54 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Trail Blazers have averaged 17.1 turnovers per game (923 turnovers/54 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6
The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Timberwolves are shooting 49% (296/598) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Timberwolves have averaged 119.4 points per game (6,569 points/55 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6
The Timberwolves have averaged 1.44 points per shot (864 points/598 shots) in close and late situations this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,268 rebounds/218 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%
The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,739 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
The Timberwolves have blocked 1,213 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th most among NBA teams
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (311 blocks/55 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
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