Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 75.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 65.0% confidence.

Bet now on Nuggets vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM

Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+14.20 Units / 35% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 48% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+12.05 Units / 42% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.43 Units / 23% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)

Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 23-29 (-8.9 Units / -15.56% ROI).

20-32 against the Moneyline (-16 Units / -22.99% ROI)

25-27 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -8.22% ROI)

27-25 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.87% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 31-23 (+5.7 Units / 9.59% ROI).

34-20 against the Moneyline (+4.25 Units / 3.07% ROI)

34-20 against the Over for game total points (+12.03 Units / 20.26% ROI)

20-34 against the Under for game total points (-17.4 Units / -29.26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.10 Units / -33% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 19 games at home (-16.98 Units / -56% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-15.90 Units / -32% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (-15.05 Units / -23% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.91 Units / -29% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 25 games (-16.10 Units / -44% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 25 games (-16.05 Units / -51% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-15.35 Units / -30% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 away games (-14.65 Units / -36% ROI)

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-13.80 Units / -28% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Grizzlies are winless (0-11) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .630

The Nuggets are 14-5 (.737) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Nuggets are 9-2 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .621

The Nuggets were 22-8 (.733) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (745/1,888) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,532 points/2,485 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Nuggets averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies allowed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (825 rebounds/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.6

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,849 rebounds/52 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Grizzlies stole the ball 673 times in the 2023-24 season — 4th most among NBA teams

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,938 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Nuggets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (375 steals/54 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets have forced 12.0 turnovers per game (649 turnovers/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6