Feb. 11, 2026, 10:47 a.m. ET

The Memphis Grizzlies (20-32) and Denver Nuggets (34-20) meet Wednesday at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nuggets lead 1-0

Denver won 125-115 in the first meeting this season in Memphis on Nov. 24 as a 6.5-point favorite as the Over (235.5) cashed. The Nuggets have won 8 of the past 9 in the series, while covering 3 in a row, and 6 of the past 7. The Over is 5-2 in that same 7-game span.

Memphis suffered a gut-wrenching 114-113 loss at the Golden State Warriors Monday as a 9-point underdog as the Over (218.5) cashed. G Ty Jerome scored 19 points with 7 assists and 2 steals with 2 3-pointers. They’ve dropped 3 in a row, but the Grizzlies are a respectable 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 games, while the Over has cashed in 6 in a row.

Denver was nipped 119-117 as a 2.5-point favorite against the Cleveland Cavaliers Monday as the Under (242.5) cashed. C Nikola Jokic did his part with 22 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists with a block. The Nuggets have dropped 4 of the past 5 games, while going 2-3 ATS. The Over is 7-1 across the previous 8 outings despite Monday’s Under against the Cavs.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Grizzlies at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:38 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Nuggets -750 (bet $750 to win $100)Against the spread: Grizzlies +13.5 (-110) | Nuggets -13.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 238.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Grizzlies at Nuggets key injuries

Grizzlies

F Santi Aldama (knee) outF Brandon Clarke (calf) outG Walter Clayton Jr. (calf) doubtfulG Cedric Coward (knee) doubtfulC Zach Edey (ankle) outG Ja Morant (elbow) out

Nuggets

G Christian Braun (ankle) probableF Aaron Gordon (hamstring) outC Nikola Jokic (ankle) probableF Spencer Jones (concussion) questionableG Jamal Murray (hip) probableF Peyton Watson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Nuggets picks and predictionsPrediction

Nuggets 128, Grizzlies 113

AVOID.

The Nuggets (-750) will set you back 7 1/2 times your potential return, and there is never a reason to bet such a heavy favorite.

On the flip side, the Grizzlies (+525) cannot be trusted, especially with Morant sidelined. Memphis has lost 3 in a row, and 9 of the past 11 outings since Jan. 21.

The NUGGETS -13.5 (-110) are the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Denver has covered 3 of the past 4 games as a favorite of 9 or more points. Still, Memphis is 4-1 ATS in the past 5 games, so don’t get carried away. Even shorthanded, the Grizzlies haven’t faced a lot of blowout situations lately.

The OVER 238.5 (-110) is also worth playing lightly.

The Over has cashed in 7 of the past 8 games for Denver, while cashing in each of the past 6 outings for Memphis. The Over is 5-2 in the past 7 meetings in this series, too.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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