Zion Williamson will lead his teammates to the hoop against the Heat.
Feb 11, 2026 • 10:49 ET
• 4 min read
EXPERT PICK – PROP
Zion Williamson o3.5 Total Assists (-112)
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Zion Williamson (1) during the game against the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum.
The Miami Heat head to the Big Easy tonight to face the New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center, with tip-off at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Zion Williamson has thrived as a passer lately, and my Heat vs. Pelicans predictions will focus on his ability to facilitate the rock.
Find out more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, February 11.
Heat vs Pelicans prediction
Heat vs Pelicans best bet: Zion Williamson Over 3.5 assists (-115)
Zion Williamson has an eye for picking a pass for a big man, averaging 3.5 dimes per night.
The former first overall pick had six dimes on Monday against the Sacramento Kings, marking the fourth time in his last six appearances he cashed the Over on assists.
While Zion had just two dimes earlier this season against the Miami Heat, Miami is allowing 4.4 assists per contest to power forwards.
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Heat vs Pelicans same-game parlay
Kasparas Jakucionis has eclipsed his rebound total in three straight, grabbing three boards in each game. He’s also hit the Over in rebounds in four consecutive road contests.
Miami has won three straight against the Pelicans, and its last road game was a huge 132-101 victory over the Washington Wizards.
Jaime Jaquez has dished out Over 4.5 dimes in three straight outings, and the UCLA product is averaging 4.7 assists this season.
Heat vs Pelicans SGP
Kasparas Jakucionis Over 3.5 rebounds
Heat moneyline
Jaime Jaquez Over 4.5 assists
Our “from downtown” SGP: Threes brigade
Herb Jones has cashed the Over in triples in two of his last four, while Trey Murphy III has been on fire from 3-point land — cashing his Over in three in a row.
Saddiq Bey has also hit two or more treys in three of five, and there should be plenty of shots tonight with Miami ranked No. 1 in pace.
Heat vs Pelicans SGP
Zion Williamson Over 3.5 assists
Herbert Jones Over 1.5 threes
Trey Murphy III Over 3.5 threes
Saddiq Bey Over 1.5 threes
Heat vs Pelicans odds
Spread: Heat +1 (-115) | Pelicans -1 (-105)
Moneyline: Heat -105 | Pelicans -115
Over/Under: Over 231.5 | Under 231.5
Heat vs Pelicans betting trend to know
The Miami Heat have hit the first-quarter moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+23.80 Units / 42% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Pelicans.
How to watch Heat vs Pelicans
Location
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Date
Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN Sun, GCSEN
Heat vs Pelicans latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.
After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.
Quinn’s favorite team is Chelsea FC and he’d like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.
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