The Lakers are -7.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
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The Dallas Mavericks visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Los Angeles, CA.
The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-118).
The Mavericks vs Lakers Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-30 against the spread, while the Lakers are 29-24 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineDallas Mavericks+7.5 -102O 233.5 -105+240Los Angeles Lakers -7.5 -118U 233.5 -115-300
Lakers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Lakers.
Lakers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 59.8% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2H Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.63 Units / 27% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+10.14 Units / 21% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+13.50 Units / 33% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-30 (-10.05 Units / -17.22% ROI).
19-34 against the Moneyline (-7.95 Units / -11.75% ROI)
24-29 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -13.55% ROI)
29-24 against the Under for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.46% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 29-24 (+2.6 Units / 4.46% ROI).
32-21 against the Moneyline (+7.15 Units / 6.41% ROI)
30-23 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 8.06% ROI)
23-30 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -17.15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-25.80 Units / -29% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-19.70 Units / -33% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-18.70 Units / -47% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.60 Units / -36% ROI)
The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-17.15 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-20.05 Units / -36% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.55 Units / -41% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.40 Units / -43% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.60 Units / -23% ROI)
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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Mavericks are 9-20 (.310) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .400
The Mavericks are 2-11 (.154) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .305
The Mavericks are 11-16 (.407) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .478
The Mavericks are 4-19 (.174) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Lakers are winless (0-6) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .250
The Lakers are 19-5 (.792) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .520
The Lakers are 30-5 (.857) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642
The Lakers are undefeated (8-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (281/859) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks are shooting 34% from three (579/1,688) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 second chance points per game (317 points/53 games) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 1.39 points per shot (6,141 points/4,429 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Lakers are shooting 51% (1,022/1,992) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers are shooting 50% (2,209/4,429) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,982 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 7.6 steals per game (402 steals/53 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Mavericks have blocked 296 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (213 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Lakers averaged 4.5 blocks per game (367 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Lakers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,672 steals/217 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
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