Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves picks bring us a matchup where the betting market is clearly backing Minnesota, but the total has also been climbing because both teams have been playing faster and scoring more lately. I am breaking this game down the same way I handle my daily NBA picks, focusing on matchup history, recent form, and the line movement that tells us how bettors are attacking this spot.
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Terms & Conditions Quick Picks and Prediction Spread Pick: Minnesota -5.5 Total Pick: Over 234.5 Projected Final Score: Minnesota 122, Portland 114 Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds Market Portland Minnesota Spread +6.5 (-105) -6.5 (-115) Total Over 236 (-108) Under 236 (-112) Current Odds Market Portland Minnesota Spread +5.5 (-110) -5.5 (-110) Total Over 234.5 (-110) Under 234.5 (-110) Line Movement – Spread Date Time Portland Minnesota Public (Money, Tickets) 02/11 09:41:05AM +5.5 (-110) -5.5 (-110) MIN 100%, MIN 100% 02/11 09:40:03AM 02/11 09:39:38AM +5.5 (-110) -5.5 (-110) MIN 100%, MIN 100% 02/11 09:38:52AM 02/11 08:39:50AM +7.5 (-112) -7.5 (-108) MIN 100%, MIN 100% 02/11 05:44:19AM +7.5 (-108) -7.5 (-112) MIN 100%, MIN 100% 02/10 07:15:03PM +7 (-112) -7 (-108) 02/10 06:03:51PM +7 (-110) -7 (-110) 02/10 04:04:27PM +6.5 (-105) -6.5 (-115) Line Movement – Total Date Time Over Under Public (Money, Tickets) 02/11 09:43:59AM 234.5 (-110) 234.5 (-110) OV 87%, OV 50% 02/11 09:42:33AM 235.5 (-108) 235.5 (-112) OV 87%, OV 50% 02/11 09:41:18AM 234.5 (-110) 234.5 (-110) OV 87%, OV 50% 02/11 09:41:05AM 235.5 (-108) 235.5 (-112) OV 87%, OV 50% 02/11 09:40:03AM 02/11 09:39:38AM 235.5 (-108) 235.5 (-112) OV 87%, OV 50% 02/11 09:38:52AM 02/11 09:29:07AM 236.5 (-114) 236.5 (-106) OV 100%, OV 100% 02/11 09:27:52AM 236.5 (-108) 236.5 (-112) OV 100%, OV 100% 02/10 10:32:27PM 238.5 (-108) 238.5 (-112) 02/10 08:49:11PM 237 (-108) 237 (-112) 02/10 04:35:49PM 236.5 (-115) 236.5 (-105) 02/10 04:04:27PM 236 (-108) 236 (-112) Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Key Matchups and HandicapTimberwolves
Minnesota snapped a mini losing skid with a 22-point home win over the Hawks. Both teams are on equal rest after playing on Monday, so there is no major scheduling edge here.
The over is 5-2 in Minnesota’s last seven games, which lines up with the way this total has been bet. The Timberwolves have been playing faster and giving up more points than usual, but they have also been scoring enough to keep totals in play.
From a side perspective, Minnesota should be able to handle business because Portland has struggled in these “jump in class” spots. The Blazers have shown they can beat comparable teams, but they have not held up well against superior opponents.
Trail Blazers
Portland is riding a three-game winning streak, including a 17-point home win over the Sixers to start the week. The Blazers’ last five games have all gone over the total, which explains why this number has been moving all over the place.
The bigger issue is what happens when Portland faces stronger teams. Recent results show the Blazers lost by 12 against Toronto, lost by eight against Boston, lost by 30 against the Knicks, and lost by 19 against the Cavaliers.
That is a pretty clear pattern. Portland can win and cover against teams in its tier, but it tends to get exposed when the opponent is a level above.
Portland and Minnesota
This is the first meeting between these teams since the opening week of the season. Minnesota won that game 118-114 on the road in Portland.
The other scheduling note that matters here is Portland being on the front end of a back-to-back. The Blazers will travel to Utah on Thursday, and that can show up in late-game legs, especially if this turns into a physical contest.
From a betting standpoint, I am comfortable laying Minnesota at the current number. The line has moved down from -7.5 to -5.5, which is a much more reasonable entry point for a team I still rate higher in this matchup.
POR and MIN Betting Trends Minnesota won the first meeting of the season 118-114 on the road. The over is 5-2 in Minnesota’s last seven games. Portland’s last five games have all gone over the total. Portland is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight games as an underdog. The spread has moved from Minnesota -7.5 down to -5.5. The total has moved down from 238.5 to 234.5. Key Injuries and Notes – POR and MIN Terrence Shannon Jr. remains out long-term for Minnesota. Matisse Thybulle will be out for Portland. Kris Murray will be out for Portland. Shaedon Sharpe will be out for Portland. Portland is on the front end of a back-to-back and travels to Utah on Thursday. ATS and Total Picks ATS Pick: Minnesota -5.5 Total Pick: Over 234.5 Final Score Prediction Projected Final Score: Minnesota 122, Portland 114 How to Bet
This is a matchup where I like Minnesota for one simple reason: Portland has not held up well when it steps up in competition. Even when the Blazers play well early, those gaps tend to show up over 48 minutes.
Before betting the side, I always recommend shopping around to find the best number. Start by checking the latest sportsbook promo codes and compare the current market at the best sportsbooks.
If you want alternative ways to wager, take a look at social sportsbooks for different formats and betting styles.
For bonuses and sign-up deals, the bet365 bonus code is always worth a look, and you can also review the latest fliff promo code for additional value.
My favorite bet here is Minnesota -5.5. I also lean to the over, since both teams have been playing in higher-scoring games lately and the Blazers’ recent trend has been toward offense.
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