Pacers vs Nets picks bring us a matchup that already produced one upset earlier this season, and now the betting market is asking Brooklyn to lay points at home. Before locking anything in, I broke this game down the same way I handle my daily NBA picks, focusing strictly on matchup trends, rest angles, and line movement.
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Terms & Conditions Quick Picks and Prediction Spread Pick: Indiana +5 Total Pick: Under 216.5 Projected Final Score: Brooklyn 108, Indiana 105 Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds Market Indiana Brooklyn Spread +3.5 (-110) -3.5 (-110) Total Over 211.5 (-115) Under 211.5 (-105) Current Odds Market Indiana Brooklyn Spread +5 (-108) -5 (-112) Total Over 216.5 (-114) Under 216.5 (-106) Line Movement – Spread Date Time Indiana Brooklyn Public (Money, Tickets) 02/11 08:39:36AM +5 (-108) -5 (-112) BRK 71%, BRK 65% 02/10 11:59:35PM +5 (-112) -5 (-108) BRK 98%, BRK 66% 02/10 10:13:08PM +5 (-110) -5 (-110) BRK 100%, BRK 100% 02/10 06:59:11PM +4.5 (-110) -4.5 (-110) 02/10 06:57:56PM +4 (-106) -4 (-114) 02/10 06:51:44PM +4 (-110) -4 (-110) 02/10 06:39:09PM +3.5 (-110) -3.5 (-110) Line Movement – Total Date Time Over Under Public (Money, Tickets) 02/11 09:21:54AM 216.5 (-114) 216.5 (-106) 02/11 09:16:03AM 216.5 (-106) 216.5 (-114) 02/11 09:14:38AM 216.5 (-110) 216.5 (-110) 02/11 07:53:17AM 214.5 (-110) 214.5 (-110) 02/11 06:45:11AM 215.5 (-110) 215.5 (-110) 02/10 08:52:08PM 214.5 (-106) 214.5 (-114) 02/10 08:51:19PM 213.5 (-115) 213.5 (-105) 02/10 07:11:24PM 212.5 (-115) 212.5 (-105) 02/10 06:39:09PM 211.5 (-115) 211.5 (-105) Pacers vs Nets Key Matchups and HandicapPacers
Indiana is coming off a 137-134 overtime win at Madison Square Garden that snapped a four-game losing streak. Even though it went to overtime, no one logged more than 37 minutes, and the bench stepped up with Jay Huff, Ben Sheppard and TJ McConnell all scoring in double figures.
That matters on the second leg of a back-to-back. The Pacers did not burn out their rotation, and the confidence boost from that win could carry over.
Indiana also has history on its side in this matchup. Each of the last six meetings between these teams has stayed under the total.
Nets
Brooklyn won the first meeting this season with a 112-103 road victory in early November. The Nets have also won back-to-back games for the first time since Christmas.
However, Michael Porter Jr. has been ruled out for this game. That changes everything. Brooklyn is 2-9 straight-up without its leading scorer this season. In those 11 games, the Nets have averaged just 102.3 points per game while shooting 43.0 percent from the field.
Nic Claxton is also listed as questionable, which could further impact Brooklyn’s interior presence.
Indiana and Brooklyn
The betting market has pushed this number up from -3.5 to -5 in favor of Brooklyn. Public money is heavily backing the Nets.
I understand the hesitation with Indiana on a back-to-back, but I have no interest in laying multiple possessions with a team that is 2-9 straight-up without its top scorer.
Brooklyn’s recent offensive spike came with Porter Jr. in the lineup. Without him, the scoring efficiency drops sharply. Against a Pacers team that just got a morale boost, that is a dangerous spot to lay points.
IND and BRK Betting Trends Each of the last six meetings between Indiana and Brooklyn has gone under the total. Brooklyn is 2-9 straight-up without Michael Porter Jr. this season. In those 11 games without Porter Jr., the Nets have averaged 102.3 points per game. The spread has moved from Brooklyn -3.5 to -5. Public money is heavily backing Brooklyn. Key Injuries and Notes – IND and BRK Michael Porter Jr. is ruled out for Brooklyn. Nic Claxton is listed as questionable for Brooklyn. Ivica Zubac will not play for Indiana. ATS and Total Picks ATS Pick: Indiana +5 Total Pick: Under 216.5 Final Score Prediction Projected Final Score: Brooklyn 108, Indiana 105 How to Bet
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This game sets up as a classic fade-the-overreaction spot. I will take the points with Indiana and lean under once again in a matchup that continues to trend in that direction.
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