The Magic are -8.5 favorites vs. the Kings

Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points

Watch the game on FDFL | NSCA

The Orlando Magic visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Sacramento, CA.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Magic vs Kings Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Magic are 21-32 against the spread, while the Kings are 21-35 against the spread.

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Magic vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineOrlando Magic-8.5 -110O 223.5 -110-375Sacramento Kings +8.5 -110U 223.5 -110+300

Kings vs Magic Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Thursday‘s game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Magic and Kings.

Kings vs Magic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.

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Magic Best Bets for Tonight:

The Orlando Magic have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 16 away games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)

The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.00 Units / 21% ROI)

The Orlando Magic have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)

The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)

The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)

Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.75 Units / 21% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+10.65 Units / 70% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.75 Units / 60% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)

Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 21-32 (-14.2 Units / -24.36% ROI).

28-25 against the Moneyline (-11.9 Units / -11.23% ROI)

27-26 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -2.74% ROI)

26-27 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.35% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 21-35 (-17.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

12-44 against the Moneyline (-11.5 Units / -19.02% ROI)

27-29 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -7.95% ROI)

29-27 against the Under for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.14% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 games at home (-19.80 Units / -42% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.70 Units / -34% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-17.35 Units / -34% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.35 Units / -29% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.45 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:

The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-19.55 Units / -28% ROI)

The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.45 Units / -33% ROI)

The Orlando Magic have only covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.68 Units / -34% ROI)

The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.75 Units / -25% ROI)

The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.55 Units / -36% ROI)

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Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Magic are 18-11 (.621) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .520

The Magic were 26-7 (.788) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .660

The Magic were 9-27 (.250) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

The Magic are 23-2 (.920) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .841

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Kings are winless (0-5) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Kings are 4-23 (.148) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Kings are 3-22 (.120) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .400

The Kings are 8-40 (.167) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic shot 32% from three (921/2,892) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Magic shot 31% from three (456/1,458) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Magic shot 32% from three (465/1,434) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Magic shot 32% from three (466/1,452) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have made 10.4 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 111.9 points per game (3,134 points/28 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.3

The Kings have averaged 1.24 points per shot (6,168 points/4,959 shots) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic averaged 6.0 blocks per game (488 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Magic have allowed 6.0 second chance points per game (1,311 points/217 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.2

The Magic have allowed 11.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.4

The Magic have allowed 11.8 second chance points per game (1,294 points/110 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,825 rebounds/56 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings averaged 4.2 blocks per game (342 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

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