The Rockets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
Watch the game on FDCH | SCHN
The Houston Rockets visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Charlotte, NC.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Rockets vs Hornets Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 23-30 against the spread, while the Hornets are 33-21 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineHouston Rockets-4.5 -110O 216.5 -110-190Charlotte Hornets +4.5 -110U 216.5 -110+154
Hornets vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Hornets.
Hornets vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.63 Units / 63% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.40 Units / 30% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+12.10 Units / 24% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+20.05 Units / 48% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 30 games at home (+19.15 Units / 56% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.05 Units / 31% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.95 Units / 30% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 23 games at home (+16.55 Units / 63% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 23-30 (-9.95 Units / -17.08% ROI).
33-20 against the Moneyline (-21.45 Units / -11.48% ROI)
22-31 against the Over for game total points (-12.07 Units / -20.71% ROI)
31-22 against the Under for game total points (+6.8 Units / 11.65% ROI)
Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 33-21 (+9.9 Units / 16.36% ROI).
26-29 against the Moneyline (+10.9 Units / 15.89% ROI)
21-34 against the Over for game total points (-16.4 Units / -27.11% ROI)
34-21 against the Under for game total points (+10.9 Units / 18.02% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-24.00 Units / -42% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 30 games at home (-23.95 Units / -69% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.63 Units / -41% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.45 Units / -40% ROI)
The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units / -35% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (-32.50 Units / -28% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 away games (-30.75 Units / -57% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-22.45 Units / -25% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-22.40 Units / -42% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 30 games (-19.73 Units / -57% ROI)
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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets
The Rockets are 14-1 (.933) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .249
The Rockets are 17-3 (.850) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559
The Rockets are 1-19 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .241
Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Hornets are 7-33 (.175) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454
The Hornets were 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Hornets were 1-15 (.062) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402
The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 23.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,237 rebounds/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.0
The Rockets have averaged 21.0 offensive rebounds per game (4,548 rebounds/217 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Hornets had 18.4 free throw attempts per game in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Hornets averaged 5.6 fast break points per game (460 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Hornets shot 42% (1,551/3,648) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (307 blocks/53 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Rockets averaged 8.4 steals per game (689 steals/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Rockets have blocked 307 shots this season — 5th most among NBA teams
The Rockets have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (593 blocks/110 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hornets have allowed 15.6 offensive rebounds per game (860 rebounds/55 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 18.0
The Hornets have averaged 6.5 steals per game (704 steals/108 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Hornets have averaged 6.7 steals per game (448 steals/67 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
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