Feb. 19, 2026, 10:23 p.m. ET

The Dallas Mavericks (19-35) and Minnesota Timberwolves (34-22) meet Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Timberwolves lead 2-0, with 120-96 and 118-105 victories

The Mavericks lost to the Los Angeles Lakers 124-104 on Feb. 12, their last game prior to the All-Star break, and they failed to cover as a 6-point road underdog as the Under (237.5) hit. Dallas has come up short in 9 straight games, with 5 of those being double-digit defeats. The Mavericks are 2-7 against the spread (ATS) in that span and 23-31 ATS on the season.

In their last game before the break, the Timberwolves beat the Portland Trail Blazers 133-109 on Feb. 11. Minnesota covered as a 7.5-point home favorite with the Over (237.5) cashing. It has won 2 straight games and 7 of its previous 10 contests, going 6-4 ATS. The Timberwolves are 25-31 ATS on the season.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Mavericks at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:16 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Timberwolves -650 (bet $650 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +12.5 (-110) | Timberwolves -12.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Mavericks at Timberwolves key injuries

Mavericks

G Max Christie (ankle) questionableF Cooper Flagg (midfoot) outC Daniel Gafford (ankle) questionableG Kyrie Irving (knee) out for seasonC Dereck Lively II (foot) outF Caleb Martin (ankle) questionable

Timberwolves

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Timberwolves picks and predictionsPrediction

Timberwolves 124, Mavericks 109

PASS.

Avoid this play. The Timberwolves (-650) should win with ease, but are certainly not worth 6 1/2 times your money.

BET TIMBERWOLVES -12.5 (-110).

The Mavericks will be short their top offensive weapons, Flagg and Irving. Even Christie, who has come on strong in the last few months, will be sidelined. They’re too banged up to expect them to keep things close. Dallas has failed to cover in 3 straight road games.

The Timberwolves were scorching hot offensively heading into the All-Star break. They have covered in 2 of their last 3 games as a double-digit favorite as well.

Back TIMBERWOLVES -12.5 (-110).

BET UNDER 237.5 (-110).

There’s no reason to think the Mavericks can score enough to aid the Over here. Dallas has gone Under in 5 of its last 9 contests and has scored 111 points or fewer in 4 of its previous 7 games.

The Timberwolves have tallied 115 points or fewer in 4 of their last 7 home games and are 3-4 O/U in that span. They should be able to limit a Dallas team short many of its key scorers.

Take UNDER 237.5 (-110).

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