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The Miami Heat begin their second half on the road this evening against the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. Tip-off for this contest is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.
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Jalen Johnson has been a beast this season, and I’m targeting him to ball out in my Heat vs. Hawks predictions.
Read more in my NBA picks for Friday, February 20.
Heat vs Hawks prediction
Heat vs Hawks best bet: Jalen Johnson Over 22.5 points (-120)
Jalen Johnson has burst onto the scene this season, averaging 23.5 ppg. Before he partook in the All-Star festivities in Los Angeles, the Duke product cashed the Over in points in two of his final four games in the first half.
He also returned with a bang on Thursday, as the Atlanta Hawks hammered the 76ers. Johnson showed out for 32 points.
Johnson is averaging 26.5 ppg across two meetings with the Miami Heat in 2025-26, so he knows how to beat this team.
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Heat vs Hawks same-game parlay
Tyler Herro is having a nice campaign, averaging 21.9 ppg. He’s hit the Over in points in four straight games.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging a respectable 3.7 assists per game. He’ll be important in getting Johnson more scoring opportunities tonight.
The Canadian guard has cashed the Over in dimes in seven straight.
Heat vs Hawks SGP
Jalen Johnson Over 22.5 points
Tyler Herro Over 17.5 points
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 assists
Our “from downtown” SGP: Home cooking for Hawks
Atlanta is coming off a big win over the Sixers, and this new-look roster is promising. They also beat the Heat on February 3.
Heat vs Hawks SGP
Jalen Johnson Over 22.5 points
Tyler Herro Over 17.5 points
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 assists
Heat vs Hawks odds
Spread: Heat -3.5 | Hawks +3.5
Moneyline: Heat -155 | Hawks +130
Over/Under: Over 244.5 | Under 244.5
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Heat vs Hawks betting trend to know
The Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Hawks.
How to watch Heat vs Hawks
Location
State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Date
Friday, February 20, 2026
Tip-off
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN Sun, FDSN Southeast Atlanta
Heat vs Hawks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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