The Nuggets are -1.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
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The Denver Nuggets visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Portland, OR.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 31-25 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 30-26 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineDenver Nuggets-1.5 -110O 238.5 -105-125Portland Trail Blazers +1.5 -110U 238.5 -115+105
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Trail Blazers.
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+25.05 Units / 32% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+14.10 Units / 21% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+13.53 Units / 27% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.35 Units / 23% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+10.90 Units / 49% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 51% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 88% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 49% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 31-25 (+3.5 Units / 5.68% ROI).
35-21 against the Moneyline (+3.45 Units / 2.35% ROI)
35-21 against the Over for game total points (+11.93 Units / 19.38% ROI)
21-35 against the Under for game total points (-17.5 Units / -28.38% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 30-26 (+1.4 Units / 2.27% ROI).
27-29 against the Moneyline (+4.65 Units / 5.97% ROI)
30-26 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 2.27% ROI)
26-30 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -11.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-21.70 Units / -38% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.05 Units / -28% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-15.20 Units / -25% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-14.15 Units / -21% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-11.85 Units / -30% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 away games (-18.00 Units / -36% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.20 Units / -33% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.70 Units / -34% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.05 Units / -29% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 21 away games (-13.35 Units / -55% ROI)
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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Nuggets are 32-7 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .616
The Nuggets are 8-4 (.667) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .426
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets were 1-9 (.100) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Trail Blazers are 5-20 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454
The Trail Blazers were 14-33 (.298) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Trail Blazers were 12-40 (.231) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 39% from three (768/1,950) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (6,734 points/4,847 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets averaged 5.5 assists per game (302 assists/55 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 17.3 turnovers per game (970 turnovers/56 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6
The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,507 assists/ 1,769 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (385 steals/56 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Nuggets have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,018 rebounds/56 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Nuggets averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,031 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,739 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%
The Trail Blazers averaged 4.3 blocks per game (354 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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