The Pistons are -10.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
Watch the game on CHSN | FDDT
The Detroit Pistons visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Chicago, IL.
The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-118).
The Pistons vs Bulls Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 30-24 against the spread, while the Bulls are 23-31 against the spread.
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Pistons vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineDetroit Pistons-10.5 -118O 233.5 -115-550Chicago Bulls +10.5 -102U 233.5 -105+400
Bulls vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Saturday‘s game with 72.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Bulls.
Bulls vs Pistons Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 56.9% confidence.
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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games (+17.50 Units / 51% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 45 games (+16.55 Units / 17% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.15 Units / 29% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Bulls Best Bets for Tonight:
The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 35 games at home (+19.90 Units / 49% ROI)
The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)
The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
The Chicago Bulls have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 30-24 (+3.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
41-13 against the Moneyline (+11.45 Units / 7.8% ROI)
23-31 against the Over for game total points (-11.1 Units / -18.69% ROI)
31-23 against the Under for game total points (+5.7 Units / 9.6% ROI)
Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 23-31 (-11.1 Units / -18.03% ROI).
24-32 against the Moneyline (-4.65 Units / -6.09% ROI)
27-28 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.17% ROI)
28-27 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.76% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bulls:
The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 35 games at home (-25.20 Units / -63% ROI)
The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-21.55 Units / -33% ROI)
The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-19.50 Units / -32% ROI)
The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.05 Units / -29% ROI)
The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.70 Units / -26% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 30 games (-21.65 Units / -62% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (-19.57 Units / -24% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.95 Units / -29% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.55 Units / -28% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 games (-13.21 Units / -38% ROI)
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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls
The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Pistons were 5-33 (.132) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Pistons were 3-36 (.077) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Bulls are 2-10 (.167) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
The Bulls are 11-21 (.344) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
The Bulls were 1-19 (.050) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Bulls are winless (0-21) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .087
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 30.6 points in the paint per game (1,652 points/54 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2
The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Pistons have averaged 57.8 points in the paint per game (1,502 points/26 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.3
The Pistons have averaged 18.4 fast break points per game (993 points/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2
Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls averaged 3.4 fast break points per game (200 points/59 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3
The Bulls averaged 9.8 fast break points per game (802 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bulls averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (466 turnovers/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Bulls averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,004 turnovers/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 10.6 steals per game (573 steals/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Pistons have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (340 blocks/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pistons have forced 17.3 turnovers per game (933 turnovers/54 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6
The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (2,015/4,565) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,131 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bulls averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,849 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bulls have averaged 7.4 steals per game (416 steals/56 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Bulls have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,189 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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