Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks odds, tips and betting trends | 2/20/2026

Data Skrive

Updated Feb. 20, 2026, 7:29 p.m. ET

Feb 19, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Atlanta Hawks guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker (7) drives against Philadelphia 76ers guard Vj Edgecombe (77) during the first quarter at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

The Miami Heat (29-27) travel in Southeast Division action against the Atlanta Hawks (27-30) on Friday, February 20, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. It’s the third matchup between these clubs this year.

The Heat play the Hawks. The Heat are favored by 3.5 points against the Hawks. The matchup’s point total is set at 244.5.

Heat vs. Hawks betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 7:29 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Miami -3.5Total: 244.5Moneyline: Miami -149, Atlanta +124Watch the NBA on Fubo!Heat at Hawks odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Hawks (+ 3.5)Pick OU: Under (244.5)Prediction: – Hawks 119 – Heat 118MoneylineThe Heat are 16-11 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 59.3% of those games).Miami has gone 13-10 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -149 or shorter (winning 56.5%).The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Heat a 59.8% chance to win.This season, the Hawks have won 15 out of the 32 games, or 46.9%, in which they’ve been the underdog.This season, Atlanta has won 10 of its 22 games, or 45.5%, when it is the underdog by at least +124 on the moneyline.Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Hawks have a 44.6% chance to win.Against the spreadThe Heat average only 1.2 more points per game (119.6) than the Hawks give up (118.4).When Miami puts up more than 118.4 points, it is 23-4 against the spread and 20-6 overall.Atlanta is 17-10 against the spread and 16-11 overall when it scores more than 117.2 points.Miami’s record is 23-6-1 against the spread and 22-7 overall when it gives up fewer than 117.3 points.The Heat are at the fifth spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (119.6 PPG), while the Hawks allow the 24th-fewest points per game (118.4) in the league.Atlanta’s squad is currently the 10th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (117.3 PPG), while Miami’s team is 20th in points allowed per game (117.2).The Heat have out-scored their opponents by a total of 135 points this season (2.4 points per game on average), and opponents of the Hawks have out-scored them by 64 more points on the year (1.1 per game).Over/UnderMiami has an average implied point total of 121.2 this season, which is 2.8 points lower than its implied total in Friday’s game (124).This season, Miami has put up more than 124 points 21 times.The average implied point total on the year for Atlanta (120.2) is 0.8 fewer points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (121).How to watch Heat vs. HawksGame day: Friday, February 20, 2026Game time: 7:30 p.m. ETLocation: Atlanta, GeorgiaArena: State Farm ArenaTV channel: FDSSUN, FDSSE, WANF, Peachtree Sports NetworkWatch the NBA on Fubo!

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