The Denver Nuggets (36-21) are favored by 4.5 points against the Golden State Warriors (29-27) on Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ABC.
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Nuggets vs. Warriors Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final tally of Warriors 117, Nuggets 116.
Moneyline Pick: Warriors (+153)
Total Pick: Over 230.5 (computer predicts 233.1 points)
Pick ATS: Warriors (+4.5)
Recent Nuggets vs. Warriors Matchups
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
Denver has gone 32-25-0 ATS this season.
The Nuggets have a 15-13 record against the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more.
The teams have hit the over in 35 of Denver’s 56 games with a set total.
The Nuggets have entered the game as favorites 38 times this season and won 27, or 71.1%, of those games.
Denver has a record of 21-7, a 75% win rate, when it’s favored by -184 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends
So far this season, Golden State has compiled a 25-31-0 record against the spread.
In games they have played as at least 4.5-point underdogs this year, the Warriors are 4-8 against the spread.
The teams have combined to hit the over in 32 of Golden State’s 56 games with a set total.
The Warriors have won six of the 17 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (35.3%).
When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +153 or longer, Golden State has gone 3-8 (27.3%).
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Nuggets vs. Warriors Injury Report
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Peyton Watson: Out (Hamstring),
Aaron Gordon: Out (Hamstring),
Tamar Bates: Out (Foot)
Warriors
Warriors:
Jimmy Butler: Out For Season (Knee),
Seth Curry: Out (Back),
Stephen Curry: Out (Knee),
Kristaps Porzingis: Probable (Achilles)
Nuggets vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
Game day: Sunday, February 22, 2026
Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV channel: ABC
Location: San Francisco, California
Arena: Chase Center
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