Feb. 20, 2026, 10:48 a.m. ET

The Miami Heat (29-27) visit the Atlanta Hawks (27-30) Friday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip from State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Miami got back in the win column last Wednesday with a 123-111 win over the New Orleans Pelicans, covering as a 1.5-point road underdog with the Over (232.5) hitting. C Bam Adebayo led all scorers with 27 points and 14 rebounds for a double-double, while C Kel’el Ware (16, 12) also added a double-double in the victory.

Atlanta snapped a 3-game losing streak on Thursday in handling the Philadelphia 76ers 117-107 and covering as a 1.5-point road underdog with the Under (240.5) hitting. F Jalen Johnson scored a game-high 32 points with 10 rebounds for a double-double, while knocking off the Sixers for the third time this season.

The Hawks took down the Heat 127-115 on Feb. 3, covering as a 1-point road underdog with the Over (236.5) hitting in their most recent matchup.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Heat at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Hawks +125 (bet $100 to win $125)Against the spread (ATS): Heat -3.5 (-110) | Hawks +3.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 244.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Heat at Hawks key injuries

Heat

G Tyler Herro (ribs) probableF Keshad Johnson (calf) questionableG Norman Powell (back) questionable

Hawks

(Not yet submitted — below was for Thursday’s game)

F Jonathan Kuminga (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Hawks picks and predictionsPrediction

Heat 117, Hawks 114

BET HEAT (-155).

The Heat have the advantage of fresher legs, playing their first game after the All-Star break, while the Hawks will be playing on the back half of a back-to-back.

The Heat are 13-16 on the road this season and will be dealing with minimal injuries for the first time in a while. They have won 2 of their last 3, including back-to-back road games, and have won 4 of their last 5 on the road.

The Hawks have dropped 2 of their last 3 at home and 3 of their last 4 overall. They are just 10-15 at home this season.

PASS.

While the Heat have the advantage, these teams have split the series so far this season, lessening confidence in the Heat covering.

BET UNDER 244.5 (-110).

The Hawks have scored 117 or fewer points in each of their last 3 and 121 or fewer in 7 of their last 9. They have allowed 110 or fewer in back-to-back games and 119 or fewer in 4 of their last 6.

The Heat have scored 115 or fewer in 3 of their last 5 and 118 or fewer in 6 of their last 10. They have allowed 115 or fewer in each of their last 4.

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