The Hawks are -9.5 favorites vs. the Nets

Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points

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The Brooklyn Nets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Nets vs Hawks Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nets are 25-29 against the spread, while the Hawks are 27-31 against the spread.

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Nets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

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Nets

Hawks

Hawks vs Nets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nets and Hawks.

Hawks vs Nets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Nets Best Bets for Tonight:

The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.43 Units / 27% ROI)

The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.95 Units / 26% ROI)

The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)

The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)

The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 2H Spread in 16 of their last 22 away games (+8.88 Units / 35% ROI)

Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.30 Units / 40% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.65 Units / 20% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+6.05 Units / 19% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)

Brooklyn Nets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 25-29 (-6.95 Units / -11.47% ROI).

15-40 against the Moneyline (-10.45 Units / -17.73% ROI)

24-30 against the Over for game total points (-9 Units / -14.88% ROI)

30-24 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 5.95% ROI)

Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 27-31 (-7.05 Units / -11.06% ROI).

27-31 against the Moneyline (-6.55 Units / -7.43% ROI)

29-29 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)

29-29 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.15 Units / -35% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.90 Units / -30% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-13.80 Units / -28% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.80 Units / -25% ROI)

The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 2H Spread in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-11.44 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nets:

The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.89 Units / -33% ROI)

The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 40 away games (-18.05 Units / -39% ROI)

The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 away games (-15.60 Units / -35% ROI)

The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 25 games (-15.40 Units / -54% ROI)

The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.90 Units / -30% ROI)

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Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Nets are 2-26 (.071) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .368

The Nets are 1-54 (.018) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .158

The Nets are 3-33 (.083) when allowing 110 or more points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .359

The Nets are 22-51 (.301) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Hawks are winless (0-6) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .230

The Hawks are 11-2 (.846) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .620

The Hawks are 3-4 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .581

The Hawks were 12-1 (.923) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have averaged 106.8 points per game (5,876 points/55 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

The Nets have averaged 41.1 points in the paint per game (1,150 points/28 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.3

The Nets have averaged 52.5 points per game (2,887 points/55 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8

The Nets have averaged 103.0 points per game (2,883 points/28 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 46% from three (117/257) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hawks have averaged 15.8 assists per game (914 assists/58 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (975 assists/ 453 TOs) on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hawks have averaged 10.2 fast break points per game (590 points/58 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,764 rebounds/55 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Nets averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,652 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nets have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,416 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nets have averaged 7.7 steals per game (421 steals/55 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 9.2 steals per game (535 steals/58 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Hawks have 535 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

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