The Rockets are -13.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
Watch the game on PEAC | SCHN
The Utah Jazz visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Houston, TX.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Jazz vs Rockets Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 31-26 against the spread, while the Rockets are 24-31 against the spread.
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Jazz vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineUtah Jazz+13.5 -110O 228.5 -110+600Houston Rockets -13.5 -110U 228.5 -110-900
Rockets vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Rockets.
Rockets vs Jazz Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:
The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+18.00 Units / 50% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.25 Units / 26% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 24 games (+17.63 Units / 64% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 60% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.65 Units / 33% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games (+13.35 Units / 49% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 31-26 (+2.4 Units / 3.83% ROI).
18-39 against the Moneyline (+4 Units / 6.57% ROI)
33-24 against the Over for game total points (+6.6 Units / 10.53% ROI)
24-33 against the Under for game total points (-12.3 Units / -19.62% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 24-31 (-10.05 Units / -16.63% ROI).
34-21 against the Moneyline (-21.45 Units / -11.31% ROI)
22-33 against the Over for game total points (-14.27 Units / -23.6% ROI)
33-22 against the Under for game total points (+8.8 Units / 14.53% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (-31.40 Units / -31% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (-25.70 Units / -19% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 30 games (-21.77 Units / -62% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.75 Units / -37% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-20.07 Units / -41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:
The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 35 away games (-16.40 Units / -41% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.75 Units / -26% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.00 Units / -27% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 games (-13.75 Units / -41% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 40 away games (-13.35 Units / -32% ROI)
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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Jazz are winless (0-8) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Jazz are 4-16 (.200) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
The Jazz were 3-35 (.079) when losing the rebounding margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358
The Jazz are 3-60 (.048) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .190
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz
The Rockets are 4-1 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .415
The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .245
The Rockets are 1-19 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .240
The Rockets are 17-3 (.850) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz averaged 17.2 turnovers per game (1,412 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Jazz have averaged 16.6 turnovers per game (1,828 turnovers/110 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Jazz have averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (3,609 turnovers/221 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Jazz averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (703 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 20.9 offensive rebounds per game (4,580 rebounds/219 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets have averaged 22.7 offensive rebounds per game (3,113 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.4
Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (202 blocks/57 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Jazz have allowed 15.5 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3
The Jazz allowed 21.6 fast break points per game (884 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,945 rebounds/55 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Rockets stole the ball 639 times in the 2023-24 season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
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