The Timberwolves are -6.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers

Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points

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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Portland, OR.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 25-33 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 31-27 against the spread.

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Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineMinnesota Timberwolves-6.5 -110O 236.5 -110-250Portland Trail Blazers +6.5 -110U 236.5 -110+200

Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 away games (+14.87 Units / 20% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.32 Units / 22% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)

Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+9.90 Units / 42% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 45% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.92 Units / 71% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 25-33 (-11.35 Units / -17.78% ROI).

35-23 against the Moneyline (-20.45 Units / -11.22% ROI)

29-29 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)

29-29 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 31-27 (+1.3 Units / 2.04% ROI).

28-30 against the Moneyline (+4.65 Units / 5.77% ROI)

31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2.04% ROI)

27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -11.13% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:

The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.55 Units / -34% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.10 Units / -28% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-14.40 Units / -24% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-14.25 Units / -22% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 18 games (-11.40 Units / -57% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (-24.45 Units / -27% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (-21.30 Units / -15% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 away games (-18.11 Units / -39% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (-14.95 Units / -21% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 away games (-14.75 Units / -43% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Timberwolves are 69-11 (.862) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 27-16 (.628) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Timberwolves are 122-68 (.642) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492

The Timberwolves were 15-6 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Trail Blazers are 5-21 (.192) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Trail Blazers were 14-33 (.298) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Trail Blazers are undefeated (8-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .787

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.41 points per shot (3,489 points/2,477 shots) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves have 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 124.2 points per game (3,354 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.8

The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,118/1,498) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 17.4 turnovers per game (1,009 turnovers/58 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (654 assists/ 499 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,075 rebounds/58 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Timberwolves allowed 103.7 points per game (4,253 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 113.1

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves have blocked 333 shots this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,739 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 8.0 steals per game (465 steals/58 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,402 rebounds/222 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

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