Feb. 26, 2026, 2:03 p.m. ET
The Sacramento Kings (13-47) and Dallas Mavericks (21-36) meet Thursday at 8:30 p.m. ET from American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Kings vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Split 1-1
The Kings lost to the Houston Rockets 128-97 on Wednesday, failing to cover as a 14-point road underdog with the Over (222.5) cashing. Sacramento picked up a win Monday, its first win since Jan. 16. The Kings have gone 4-6 against the spread (ATS) in the month of February and are 22-36-2 ATS on the season.
The Mavericks beat the Brooklyn Nets 123-114 Tuesday, covering as a 1.5-point road favorite. The Over (226.5) hit. Dallas has won 2 straight games and has covered in 3 in a row. The Mavericks are 3-5 ATS this month and 26-31 ATS on the season.
The teams have met twice this season, both times in Sacramento. The clubs split the games outright but the Kings covered in both, winning 113-107 and covering as a 2.5-point underdog on Dec. 27 before losing 100-98 but covering as a 4-5-point dog on Jan. 6. The Under is 2-0, with the number at 233.5 in both games.
Watch the NBA on Fubo!Kings at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:01 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Kings +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Mavericks -275 (bet $275 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Kings +6.5 (-105) | Mavericks -6.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Kings at Mavericks key injuries
Kings
(Not yet submitted — below was for Wednesday’s game)
C Dylan Caldwell (ankle) outG Devin Carter (back) questionableF De’Andre Hunter (eye) out for seasonG Zach LaVine (finger) out for seasonC Domantas Sabonis (knee) out for season
Mavericks
F Cooper Flagg (foot) outC Daniel Gafford (ankle) doubtfulG Kyrie Irving (knee) outC Dereck Lively II (foot) outG Khris Middleton (shoulder) questionableF P.J. Washington (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Kings at Mavericks picks and predictionsPrediction
Mavericks 124, Kings 116
PASS.
Avoid this play. The Mavericks (-275) should win here, but they aren’t worth almost 3 times your money to win outright.
BET MAVERICKS -6.5 (-115).
The Kings just aren’t playing competitive basketball. They are 2-4 ATS (1-5 straight up) across their last 6 games, with each SU loss coming by at least 15 points.
The Mavericks have some young talent and have been scoring at will. They’ve tallied at least 123 points in 2 straight games and should continue their hot offensive play at home Thursday.
Back MAVERICKS -6.5 (-115).
BET OVER 236.5 (-105).
Neither team likes to play defense, and that should generate ample looks offensively.
The Mavericks have gone Over in 2 straight games and have allowed at least 120 points in 6 of their last 7 contests. The Kings have gone Over in 3 straight and have given up at least 120 points in 6 of their previous 7 games, as well.
Take OVER 236.5 (-105).
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